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Loeb loves HLF PEG ratio “Let’s not forget: the business itself is performing well. Volume, revenue and earnings are all growing double digits and the balance sheet is largely unlevered,” Loeb said. “…Applying a modest 10-12x earnings multiple suggests Herbalife’s shares are worth...

The thing is that the lawyer contacted the DOJ, I believe he's got a financial interest if there is an equity group to try to get value for the stock as the group is likely to pay him for consulting. But I'm starting to think a superior way to play bk stocks is to wait till they announce the bk...

Dan Loeb now long HLF. Stock halted. The whole world will try to squeeze Ackman it seems. He should never have boasted about the size of the position

Covered AAMRQ. I believe that PR is misleading and the lawyer has incentives to talk nonsense but I don't have time to write about it right now

A college degree is a good insurance policy against your trading career. You never know if you will blow-up or become unprofitable. But you won't learn much there that will help, with the exception perhaps of probability and accounting.

The main issue that I have with owning real estate as opposed to REITs is a similar issue that I have with opening a business. Most of the time it is just a gigantic bet that is completely oversized according to the Kelly Criterion/Optimal F and we all know those risk metrics underestimate risk...

I suppose this distortion is caused by the way they calculate the rankings. The cost of real estate in Sao Paulo or Rio is quite high, thats why I rent. Everything else tends to be cheap compared to the US (except electronics). My health insurance costs $100 a month and it covers a lot of stuff

I got him on ignore so I only saw his post now. He is wrong again as usual, its funny HE is the one who was long JCP in the 40's and 30's and said Ackman was the best HF manager of his generation. He puked in the 20s and said the thesis was over. The first time I ever bought JCP the stock was in...

I agree that option 2 is best to accumulate capital, the issue is that it is not easy to get a job in these financial institutions, in Brazil if you don't have an engineering, math or at LEAST a business bachelors degree from a reputable university they won't even interview you and even then the...

http://www.advisorperspectives.com/newsletters12/pdfs/Why_a_60-40_Portfolio_isnt_Diversified.pdf This portfolio worst drawdown outside the depression was -15% with 8.1% compounded per year against 8.2% for the 60/40 In the depression it dropped 53% but I believe this was mostly because it...

"This is a relatively high-return, medium-risk portfolio. 60% is long risk. For more conservative returns, I would go to 10% RE, drop the stock portion a bit, and boost the treasuries and gold to 25% each, or bring in some cash. " I agree on REITs. It seems that over the long-term they don't...

I can hear it, the fan goes nuts when I have all my software setup and I decide to open a CNBC video feed or youtube video. I was thinking of buying a USB external fan but I decided to buy a desktop with more processing power

Its a laptop. I know because when I touch the protective case is hot as hell. The summer days I talked about usually have temperatures over 30 degrees celsium and the over heating happens when I use the CPU at 100% or close to it for several minutes. The machine doesn't shutdown though just gets...

HP business is not much better either http://www.pcworld.com/article/244419/laptop_reliability_and_satisfaction_macbooks_rule.html They simply don't have quality control with high enough standards http://www.laptopmag.com/mobile-life/best-brands-overall-scorecard-2012.aspx...

Shorted some STP http://seekingalpha.com/article/1098151-suntech-power-s-sky-high-bond-yields-suggest-imminent-dilution-risk

I disagree with the HP suggestion. Its a POS company with inferior products, if you 'never had problems' with them consider yourself lucky

Get more RAM, 2GB is just too low these days. You will notice things will be smoother with more RAM. Your processor is probably fine, I trade in a core 2 duo slower than yours with tons of heavy software opened and only have problems in really hot summer days when the processor starts to...

Forgot to mention TIPS. Probably a good addition as well. So there would be 5 categories for investment, the particular weights would depend on the individual situation. A hedge fund that is subject to withdraws might have to have less in stocks and gold, an individual investing his savings...

It's also interesting that lots of people, including Buffett, cry about how volatility is not equal to risk yet these low beta stocks have historically been the least risky and the high beta ones have been the most risky to own. So market measures of volatility CAN be used as an input for how...

Buffett's secret: being levered long low beta high quality stocks http://www.econ.yale.edu/~af227/pdf/Buffett%27s%20Alpha%20-%20Frazzini,%20Kabiller%20and%20Pedersen.pdf This seems like the holy grail for portfolio construction when combined Ray Dailo all-whether portfolio An excellent...