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Yup, but those types of headlines are hugely bullish. You never want to get bearish a stock on that type of headline. That's called a bear trap.

For you home gamers, TSLA sold off to the monthly A down and is bouncing off it for now.

I prefer to add on failed weekly A downs but you can add on intra-day A ups after a pullback. In other words, you are getting a pullback and now you are waiting for strength to confirm that the pullback was actually a failure.

Your confusing ideology with markets. Don't do that. I'm a hardcore libertarian and I have no love for the Fed but that does not cloud my understanding of how markets function. It makes no difference what you think value is or what mom and pop are forced to buy. These are all inputs into...

Flip! How ya doing man? How is the fund going? Good to see you back here. There is some nice action in the currencies. That usually is a good predictor or future overall market volatility. As I continue to parrot on this thread, WATCH the currencies for clues on the overall market...

Oh man, where to start. You know what would really help this debate? If you would make your argument without using an outlier as a baseline comparison. Sure, volatility (in stocks) are less then in 2008 and perhaps 1999 which happen to be 5 sigma data sets. You can't make that comparison. If...

This is absurd. The low VIX has nothing to do with 90% of the market. Why is this so hard for you to understand. The VIX is concentrated in large cap stocks in the s&p 500. And yes, I do agree with you that there is no easy money to be made trading GE or MSFT. That is more of a function of...

HLF is volatile because over 30% of the float is short. That is true with almost ALL heavily shorted names. It's not manipulation, it's the fact that very few own a large majority of the shares. In this case, they are short. Regarding the Fed, they have NOT destroyed vol. And your HLF...

I love it how all the manipulation is from the long side only. How come stocks can't be manipulated down? It's far easier for an algo to manipulate the market lower then higher. And 99% of the retail public doesn't give a flying fuck about volume. And I'm not saying their analysis is more...

I agree. Anyone who is trying to trade based on externalities should probably be working at a kiosk at local mall selling exotic salts from the Red Sea.

Honesty, I have over 50 stocks that have a chart just like NFLX. They are ALL breaking out. Not trying to diminish the NFLX call. NFLX looks like its going to 350. I think we are about to see some fireworks in the market.

I would NOT be trying to short the market right now. That is all.

Goddamn this market looks strong. Just giving some number line analysis here. :)

We've had two inside months in a row now. We're going to see a sizable move this month most likely.

No position. The Oct monthly A down is around 99.00. That level would be attractive for me if it held.

Don, we've debated this before and I still disagree with you about it. Isn't your avg holding time at Bright now into the weeks? Why do you care about micro structure so much? I continue to struggle why this is an issue for your firm. The truth is, these HFT's guys are eating each other...

I guess we have the answer now. I love the meritocracy of markets.

Alright, let me offer you a different perspective. Many years ago markets were much more concentrated and there was far less choice on where and how to allocate your money. Hell ETF's didn't exist. Today, markets are very diverse. There are 1000's of ETF's and hedging vehicles available...

I agree with you. I am amazed from reading ET at the utter lack of basic mathematical concepts and statistics from a majority of the posters here. Many of these same people complain about why they can't get hired at legit prop firms. Trading is all about analyzing data, lots of data. And you...

No, I'm not net long. My portfolio is always neutral. All those questions you posed were the same questions we had 6 months ago, 12 months ago and 18 months ago. The market is always faced with uncertainty. That's what pushes it higher.