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Do you trade pairs? They will expect you to trade pairs and will expect you to generate commissions. You are not getting 30-1 to take a flyer on GOOG overnight. While Don makes pair trading out to be very easy, it's anything but. So that is something to keep in mind. Over the years, Don and...

Sorry, I'll try to free up some space. Every time I empty it, it gets filled up.

There is an outstanding book called "Energy Trading and Investing". Great read. Pick it up.

I use a 5 min OR and I get a lot of A ups and A downs. In fact, my equity number lines can get huge.

Heating oil....

I thought you were more of an asymmetric trader vs mean reversion guy hence your interest in the TED spread. If I trade these spreads it's because I want to convexity they provide, not the few ticks in mean reversion. Hell, if you want mean reversion just sell option premium. :)

ADT....good call Dave. You may have been early but you got the story right.

Yeah I think energy is the one market where spreads might be more risky. However, I do think if you are patient, they can occasionally provide unique opportunities to make asymmetric bets. But I wouldn't want to arbitrarily be sitting in energy spreads every day. LOL.

Cons? Do you mean cars? I trade options.

Crude again came off the QTR A up. HJ spread got cut in half on Natty.

Yeah but he was talking about peak demand next winter. That curve is completely flat! That curve is also seriously undervalued.

Here is April/May http://tos.mx/tMgong

So here is the March/April natty strip which was .10 last week and printed .97 today. This entire curve is underpriced if natty is to hold these levels. April/May is still at .10 http://tos.mx/VHjeKx

That is total BS and you know it. You've been short for 600 handles and never once posted a purchase of any of your sales. Moderators, move this thread to chit chat where it belongs.

Nitro, what is your breakeven price on this?

I don't trade the rolls. Too many guys who have more info then me to do that. I also don't look at OR for calendars. I'm sure there is some value there, I just haven't done it.

USD/TRY.....here we go.

Crude Oil coming right up against the QTR A up around the 98 level.

As I said before, I think equities will be a non event. The short risk asset trade will definitely be in the currencies. In other news though, AAPL gapped down right to it's QTR A down around the 505 to 510 area. If this area holds, it might be a good long.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-27/trader-sells-18-million-vix-calls-in-day-s-biggest-options-bet.html Trader sells 250k VIX calls. I'm betting it was King.