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Real Trader, you have not backed up your statement that Michael Patak is a failed screen trader. You "claimed" that but you have not "proven" that. You do know what libel is right? Ever seen the inside of a court room before? If you cannot prove your claim, don't think you can hide...

I love all the one post wonders joining ET. :) BTW, you know who offers the biggest dream of all? ET!!!!!!! And you are all here drinking it up! :D

Anyone watching the yield curve? :eek:

Real Trader, I know you are working on a 15 page response. Can I ask a favor of you? Is there any way you can shorten your posts to say a few paragraphs? If you have to, just start another post. I doubt anyone is reading them because they are just too long and winded. I know this isn't...

I love how people on this board think these guys are making millions. I would say there is a 50% probability they are not even profitable as a firm. Because if the money was easy, if it was such a lock, then like you said, why aren't any of the 10,000 vendors out there doing it? There is a...

Where is my FX posse? Dollar Peso and Turkey Lira popping. US Dollar index ripping. USD/JPY tagged 103 today.

Don't be scared by this stuff. There is a lot of great software out there that makes this stuff very easy and the results can be eye opening. Good luck!

There are several ways to go about this depending on how technical and deep you want to go. If you want to test how "robust" your strategy is, I would test each of the parameters that you use to generate a trade signal which could be done through the OLS method. If you want to test the...

NEVER short anything that is basing at the highs.

The best way to do this is with a monte carlo simulation.

This is false. That is your mean. Expected value requires you to assign probabilities to all the possible outcomes and sum up those values. To solve for the probabilities you will need to know the variance. Simply take a mean of anything is NOT what you want to do.

Paper trading involves no emotions. Zero. I've rarely met an unprofitable paper trader. The opposite is true of TST. I use to manage a regional prop firm office and the amount of money people lose trading futures is staggering. The response I always get from people is, oh well they...

No,no, no, there is no guessing. This is not TA. :) Tell me specifically what you are trying to do because the posters on this thread are talking about options and p&l and win rates, etc. Tell me specifically what you are trying to solve for.

Yes expected value can be used. But you need to know the variance around that expected value.

161.73 on the weekly. But we confirmed on the QTR. This baby is going higher. Next good level will be the August monthly A up.

Yeah, there is no e-book. That's been a running joke for awhile. Although one poster has compiled a lot of notes from the thread over the years. A few posters have done that actually. But nothing that can't be accomplished via the search function. This thread is kind of like an...

Real Trader, you need to get on some prozac. You have more then a few screws loose. I have no desire to debate this with you as you present no facts. While I have no idea if they are profitable or not, neither do you. But the burden is on the accuser, not the defender. You just come on...

In the last 6 sessions I have 5 +/- 3 scores! Now that is some vol.

My God these threads get derailed fast. Look, regarding welfare fraud, I agree it's over played by the right. It's such a tiny fraction of our budget that it's a rounding error. Now, having said that, here is WHY the left should care about welfare fraud. The reason is not save us from...

Austin, Pekelo has already admitted he "paid" for a combine and failed. He's bitter. You are not going to be able to temper him. He also lied about the alias thing, he HAS been caught with another alias on here. This bullshit argument from realtrader is a joke about whether the TST...