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This is almost too funny to believe.

Well look at you. Providing a value added post. Nice work King! :)

That rbob/ho spread is going to make a run at that .25 level again.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-30/in-communist-china-stock-market-capitalists-now-rule Ninety million traders in China!!!!!!

Which WTI comment were you referring to? Right now in WTI I don't see anything sticking out. We've been holding near the highs of this range. Actually came off the top of my yearly A up about 20 times so far. LOL. The front month strips have been very strong and implied vol has been very...

http://www.amazon.com/Managed-Trading-Jack-D-Schwager/dp/0471020575/ref=asap_bc?ie=UTF8 This is the book I'm referring to.

This makes no sense at all. Are you saying I could pull up a list of the best performing mutual funds last year and invest in one of them and make a killing? The issue here is not liquidity. You have to "pick" the right horse. Almost all the empirical evidence out there on the subject...

Can respond to my simple question? I would love to hear how it's somehow easier to speculate on a trader then the market. You can make up an answer if you want to.

I still like the rbob/ho spread. That's a better way to short ho right now as long as rbob stays confirmed.

FWIW, I still have RBOB in a confirmed 30 day number line. Also WTI holding near the highs of this range is awfully suspicious.

Let's apply a little bit of simple logic here. Let's break down your premise. How exactly is it different from an employee who has to pick between thousands of possible traders and "speculate" which one will do well going "forward"? How is this different from actually trading? Under both...

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-29/gross-gets-personal-i-just-wanted-to-run-money-and-be-famous-

ZB

I got lucky on my Bond trade. Option expiration was on Friday. I was afraid we would get a pop when this Grexit finally materialized.

I think these are attractive dips in both USD/JPY and GBP/JPY.

Buying the "puke" worked again. :)

There is the gap. Will be interesting to see how that trade plays out.

I think what will be interesting going forward is if the market makes up for so called "lost time" during this last expansion. In other words, will the yield curve steepen at a very rapid rate to get to where it really should be had it been gradually steepening all along. That could make the...

Good question Samuel. I'll respond with both theory and data. In general, the yield curve is a "leading" indicator. It tends to be one of the best predictors of market cycles which is why no one on ET watches it (sarcasm off). A steepening yield curve is very bullish in general. It usually...

Some market notes: 1) Nikkei at fresh new 20 year highs 2) Yen trades continue to work 3) short bond trade continues to pay off 4) yield curve continues to steepen (nobody on ET is talking about this) 5) world commodities continue to get crushed worldwide