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he best strategy is most likely to let the low risk group out at 30 days or earlier... because relatively few deaths are saved by the sixty day scenario and you have no idea how many thousands of lives will be saved by not being shutdown. hence his conclusion.... is broken out for high risk vs...

I just read the paper.... 1. I think the abstract is correct... 2. (His conclusions are virtually identically to what some of us have been saying here for weeks.) The data sucked we have to consider the costs of the lockdown it may have been ok to briefly shutdown while collecting data we...

I don't know about that completely supporting comment... there seems to be some dissonance between your take and the abstract... I am not saying you are wrong... maybe the abstract is? I can't download the paper without joining.. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3579712...

may be... but on the flip side... there will be riots soon if the govt doesn't reopen the economy or grant a useful UBI. What are we going to do when people have no money the price of homes have wiped out and everyone's equity is gone... Therefore most of the upper middle and lower upper...

those other countries will face far more deaths when they re open unless a cure or therapy is found. We don't know the final results until this is all over. locking healty people up in their houses while there is excess hospital capacity may turn out to be a massive mistake. No one knows yet.

that was a lot of negatively to show that there may be 2 false positives to 371 negatives. that makes the test seem steller compared to the crap data from China they were using to project the overwhelm which never happened out here in CA. There were article in the San Diego paper about a week...

considering the CDC failed miserably... they probably should have the budget cut and be reorganized. https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/04/cdcs-failed-coronavirus-tests-were-tainted-with-coronavirus-feds-confirm/ As the new coronavirus took root across America, the US Centers for Disease...

That is the point.... I don't know the R0. We have useless data. Plus, I have no idea how many people in society have already been exposed. I don't really care at this point about the theoretical R0 I want to figure out the effective rate for healthy people in each area of the country. We...

you keep speaking as if we have quality data which would allow any scientist to know what the RO is. The study you showed was based on bullshit data.. China's data was bullshit. The WHO data was created with garbage. China and Italy may have had a lot of latent TB. nobody knows the RO yet...

you are logically inconsistent. one minute you telling me that RO is dynamic. which is new for you regardless of what you claim here. The next sentence you are implying that you know 60 percent is a good number because its tied to the raw RO. We don't know the raw RO or any other number...

if soros tells the truth its only coincidence. he is a great trader because his trades for the banks as he pretends he feels it in his back. the guy got to buy a bank/lender from the fed reserve during the last mortgage crisis. (with a former goldman guy if I remember... and they had insurance...

she should talk to some of the nurses and doctors out here or being told they will be taking pay cuts. I am not sure this is being reported but hospitals are losing millions of dollars a month. They can't sustain that for very long.

having to support soros' concepts has turned you into the typical a one post deep leftist troll/clown. you should be ashamed.

herd immunity depends on the RO. its not automatically 60 percent and if you isolate those with pre-existing the RO its is of course much lower. so today you provided a new Idea... a dynamic RO number... Good, you are getting closer to what I have been saying. now CA vs New York vs some...

tell us how you know that testing and tracing worked... really. how many people did they test and trace vs how many people were not traced and why it was successful in mitigating what thousands of cases? I would love to see stats that explain the RO and why and how the testing and tracing...

Piezoe has been wrong about so many big items the last 3 years its comedy.

What would testing have done? How do you know? Under what assumptions would testing have made a difference? What if the disease was already here for over a month before the idea of test was uttered. The idea that testing and tracing would have made a difference makes assumptions about this...

https://www.breitbart.com/faith/2020/04/19/report-judge-blocks-democrat-kansas-governors-order-limiting-church-gatherings-10-people/ A Kansas federal court judge issued a temporary restraining order Saturday against a Democrat Kansas governor’s executive order limiting church gatherings to ten...

I think you may be suffering from headline bias. we are a big country. NYC is screwed for some reason... But type in deaths from Corona in CA and look at the tables. Outside of L.A. there are so few deaths it is astounding. Testing has nothing to do with what is going on here. It could be the...

Trump was being called xenophobic by democrat leaders as he did one of the best things possible and that was limit air travel from China. Fauci also said he went with shutdown when asked. I think most democrats would have done far worse if make a list of those who were agains his travel ban...