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Updated polls adding 4 additional polls from the weekend and a old one that I found today

Its a type of market 'manipulation' that costs money for the people doing(at least the trades, future IPO business is another matter). It shouldn't be banned at all. They are giving away money to people trading the stock by selling a synthetic free put

Squeeze alert "zerohedge ‏@zerohedge Of four polls published on Saturday, two put SYRIZA ahead and two put the conservative New Democracy party ahead - RTRS"

I wonder if the lack of a VIX spike, -2%+ days and overall capitulation is a sign of people trusting the bernanke put and trying to front the 'buy risk assets for a few months after QE' trade

Lesson is, the market is smarter than you think. People waited till almost the close to capitalize in the free put but they seemed aware of it

Sold too soon. Dammit. Stock took off! Only made a few cents

I'm long FB from 38.01 MMs giving away a free put by protecting the downside. Trying to make a few cents in a run up, nice R/R Will dump on them before the close Too bad the retail crowd might not realize this and make a self-fulfilling prophecy

I guess the underwriters will put the losses they might take on the stock in the 'marketing and advertising budget'

Funny, the erratic trades of FB never went bellow $38. A MM has been sitting there all day. Amazing what these people will do to guarantee future IPO revenue

EUR seems like a tough call sometimes. I expect it to decline due the perception of the Greece exit, yet I'm not sure there will be an exit(Likely Germany will blink). If that is correct, in the mid-term there will be quite a rally(After Merkel agrees to kick it down the road with SYRIZA) This...

Covering a bit of EUR in this strange price action

Looks like they will have to call the SNB again for unlimited bidding of FB at $38

Merkel now desperate, suggests Greece do a EUR referendum(The same one she hated last year). As previously suggested core Europe won't give in until the last minute. Now they are trying all kinds of verbal bazookas on the hopes they won't go to showdown and have their bluff called

Lets say I lose everything 0.2% of the time. Still can be profitable to do the trade

FB occasionally has prints way beyond or bellow its last traded price. I assume these are market orders, its amazing that the market markers are allowed to get away with this

The western civilization future is now dependent on whether FB can hold $38, lol

LNKD is correlating pretty well with FB. There are shares to short at IB

"$FB opens +10%, $LNKD opened +84%, $GRPN 40%, $RENN 39%, $P 25%, $ZNGA +10%. 6 mos later all were < open (avg -44%) Implies FB $28 in Nov $$"

I endup making a nice return in my currency hedge basket due how badly the Brazilian Real has performed relative to other currencies and gold. But now I'm locking in the profit by buying lots of BZF plus overhedging in the AUD, NZD, CAD. Still keeping the gold, I suspect its going to do better...

Here's a blueprint for the JPM XLF trade. WMT spread widened against SPY and then came back when people realized that long-term earnings are not likely to be affected by the investigations...