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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_economics http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/positiveeconomics.asp

May I ask what would be the limiting factors for the growth of traders like your style (Spreading? Intra-day?)?

Is The Gold Market Manipulated? http://seekingalpha.com/article/1859261-is-the-gold-market-manipulated-part-1-introduction-and-the-london-gold-pool " ... Both gold and silver often trade together, and they are both monetary metals. The proponents of the silver manipulation theory also...

Option probabilities spell possible trouble for Treasuries http://www.futuresmag.com/2013/11/15/option-probabilities-spell-possible-trouble-for-tr?t=options " The incredible rally in equities in 2013 has begun to stir concern among many that the stock market is now in a bubble. We have...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disinflation " One of the most important constituents of successful disinflation is the credibility of monetary policy according to Thomas J. Sargent. It states that the beliefs of wage setters are affected if they feel that the central bank are religiously...

Using Chaos Theory to Predict and Prevent Catastrophic ‘Dragon King’ Events http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2013/10/chaos-theory-dragon-kings/ Dragon-Kings, Black Swans and the Prediction of Crises http://arxiv.org/abs/0907.4290

Deflation Is Crushing QE Right Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/1855341-deflation-is-crushing-qe-right-now " Investors are focused on the possible tapering of U.S. stimulus and starting to take some money off the table after a strong equities rally year-to-date. Less attention is being...

5 (+3) Themes For The Next 5 Years http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-11-21/5-3-themes-next-5-years " The following five themes (and three bonus ones) are what UBS Andrew Cates believes will be of the greatest importance for global economic and capital markets outcomes for the next five...

Predictions: #1 - Current (since when for the timing). #2 - Counter-trend. #3 - Short. #4 - Swing trades. #5 - Get much worse for the bears. #6 - Before they get better. #7 - Max pain scenario. #8 - (you already got some other scenarios in mind as well). #9 - ...

Why none of the researchers/professors in finance/trading/maths/quants/etc has clearly defined Edge yet (seems to me), if it's so simple and easy to define it, as suggested in this thread?

Perhaps someone on ET should start a page about edge on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Search/intitle:Edge . LOL

In options trading R:R can be used/evaluated for/after selecting strikes.

R:R is another example that conventionally it should be Risk:Return, but I have used it as Return:Risk several times on ET. Following this kind of conventions/ frameworks/ boundaries/ free-advices-on-ET (like this post of mine) without critically analyzing them is Not an edge...

Expectation is the right/proper word, technically in mathematics. However, personally I think expectancy (=expectation value) is better. http://en.bab.la/dictionary/german-english/erwartungswert Erwartungswert {m} expectancy value...

+1 Having a lot of experience however without adequate analytical and innovative skills --- Not an edge. Most likely.

+1

Edge is the kernel/ center/ heart of a trader's most important/ critical substance. Without a valid edge, or when an edge is outdated, the trader cannot attain his previous top performance anymore, even all the auxiliary components (such as position sizing formula) surrounding the kernel are...

It depends on time-frame, I would say. For very short time-frame, maybe not. For overnight trading, or over weekend trading, or always-in-the-market trading, advanced money management edge is important or critical for survival, imo.

Monte Carlo simulation/ test. Confidence level. Kelley.

Traders having both classes A and B edges should be able to carry out their trades at better and earlier timing than many of their competitors do. Edge traders are basically front-runners. (Not in the conventional meaning) Therefore timing is one of the key factors for edge. My 2 cents here.