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  1. O

    So after years of seaching..

    Should read: ... money management edge (for loss control and profit taking) ... And, the most difficult one to find/attain is Money Management Edge! Therefore, a Prudent approach is required and critical for profitability! lol
  2. O

    So after years of seaching..

    Whether an Edge or not is in the eyes of the beholder! imo, there are directional edge (for viability), money management edge (for profit) and risk management edge (for tail risk)! Just 2 cents!
  3. O

    Does Probability exist?

    http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/es-journal-2015.288816/page-365#post-4134492
  4. O

    So after years of seaching..

    just Unsure whether it's the "only true edge" or not. my guess is Probably Not!
  5. O

    Question regarding selling puts for premium

    My guess is Xeno is quite correct that selling puts has no edge, as everybody can do it from the first day of options trading to earn premium! http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/why-is-day-trading-considered-dangerous.292077/page-4#post-4133142
  6. O

    Embarrassing Newbie question from Oldie

    Embarrassing answer to your question: I don't know! Sorry.
  7. O

    So after years of seaching..

    That's correct (because +100%, 0% and -100% can be seen as prudent money management), and especially very true for the professionals who manage long-only funds. But How to do it well is a question!
  8. O

    So after years of seaching..

    Zen!
  9. O

    Is trading only a hobby or job for the rich?

    Is trading only a hobby or job for the rich? Perhaps the best game for pastime and entertainment! Plus sometimes unexpected excitements! lol
  10. O

    "Real Winners Are Equity Traders"

    "Real Winners Are Equity Traders" Haven't you noticed a typo: "Real Winners Are Equity Investors"
  11. O

    Day Traders

    what is financial report?
  12. O

    Talking about LPPL model fitting

    Another New model will always emerge after every crash! lol
  13. O

    Talking about LPPL model fitting

    Everything You Always Wanted to Know about Log Periodic Power Laws for Bubble Modelling but Were Afraid to Ask http://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/12237/frolova-paper-15.pdf
  14. O

    Why is day trading considered dangerous?

    "Why is day trading considered dangerous?" A simple answer: Because trading is dangerous! Haha
  15. O

    Mathematics of Betting: Odds vs Probability vs RRR

    LOL 1. The main theme so far has been about Predictive analytics. 2. Perhaps further insight could be found on the page 108 of Douglas book.
  16. O

    Mathematics of Betting: Odds vs Probability vs RRR

    My guess: A non-existing event! lol " http://visual.ly/what-are-odds What are the odds that you exist, as you, today? Author Ali Binazir attempts to quantify the probability that you came about and exist as you today and reveals that the odds of you existing are almost zero. " "...
  17. O

    Mathematics of Betting: Odds vs Probability vs RRR

    My guess is first at all, perhaps you are Not allowed to use any computers/calculators! Now you understand your Odds! lol PS: Read Chapter 7 The Trader's Edge - Thinking in Probabilities (Trading in the Zone by Douglas)
  18. O

    Mathematics of Betting: Odds vs Probability vs RRR

    " http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Log_odds Log odds Log odds are an alternate way of expressing probabilities, which simplifies the process of updating them with new evidence. Unfortunately, it is difficult to convert between probability and log odds. The log odds is the log of the odds ratio...
  19. O

    Does Probability exist?

    If a poster has been on ET for long time, sarcastic could be one of the best ways to Just survive! lol
  20. O

    Does Probability exist?

    I am sorry, personally I don't see any issue with my sarcastic style. BTW, I think your style of frankly speaking is good and positive! Much appreciated!
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