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  1. Scataphagos

    Trump Change His Tune About Fed Stimulus?

    We all know Trump's been whining like a little girl at Powell and the Fed to "get in there an DO something"... cut rates, pump money... some damned thing to goose the markets! But yesterday Trump surprised me with his comment, "perhaps we don't need stimulus". What that really means, IMV, is...
  2. Scataphagos

    ES... some prices on the DOM with NO bids... in a world-wide market!

    Can recall seeing the ES DOM with 2,000-4,000 bids and asks at each price. Today we've got single digits around the current bid/ask. Larger money players have backed away from this market and perhaps the market in general. Small players should take heed. Not a good time to try to score an...
  3. Scataphagos

    Is the Fed fighting a credit markets freeze up?

    I'd like to think the savvy among us realize that credit bubbles and their subsequent pop/crash/crisis are a product of the Greenspan/Bernanke/Yellen Fed. They all deserve to ROT IN HELL for the damage they've done to our country*... and we haven't seen the worst of it yet!! *While we're at...
  4. Scataphagos

    ES... some prices on the DOM with NO bids... in a world-wide market!

    When was the last time you saw that? ("Buy the dippers" should exercise caution, IMV.)
  5. Scataphagos

    How to buy the dip

    Hold your nose and click.
  6. Scataphagos

    Is the Fed fighting a credit markets freeze up?

    All this credit manipulation and money pumping is much like government deficit spending... always trying to get something for free. :(
  7. Scataphagos

    The Dow and the S&P 500 Are on the Brink of a Bear Market

    Small caps often lead big moves... both directions.
  8. Scataphagos

    The Dow and the S&P 500 Are on the Brink of a Bear Market

    Modern conventional jargon describes a bear market as -20% from high... but that's not a good yard stick. Bear markets are about long lasting-ish (10-18 months?), relentless downside pressure on prices and the negative psychology which accompanies. Technically a bear market will be here when...
  9. Scataphagos

    The Dow and the S&P 500 Are on the Brink of a Bear Market

    Some things nearly there already... like small caps.
  10. Scataphagos

    Stimulus, Schmimulus...

    Hey... as long as the market goes up.
  11. Scataphagos

    Stimulus, Schmimulus...

    If virus concerns cause people to avoid other people or are hunkered down/quarantined somewhere, most all of the economy is going to slow down... regardless of money pumping. Any stimulus will only goose the markets for a time being. At some point savvy players will likely get it that the...
  12. Scataphagos

    There has to be solvency issues somewhere

    For those who may not have noticed... Consumer Sentiment, as reported by the "Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey", piggy-backs the stock market. Stock market up... sentiment positive. Market down, sentiment down. So... When the market is down Consumer Sentiment is down... so spending is...
  13. Scataphagos

    There has to be solvency issues somewhere

    Concern over the decline is understandable, with all the debt and leverage. But years ago a 25% dip was more-or-less routine and considered mere "noise".
  14. Scataphagos

    VIX to 100 by Tomorrow?

    I remember the story. Knowing it's fairly rare for the VIX >65 at any time.. let alone call it "from now to April".. that is one heck of a catch... and there may be more to come. So, there you go. You wanna be a rich options superstar? Do that! :)
  15. Scataphagos

    VIX to 100 by Tomorrow?

    Someone Just Bet That VIX Will Top 100 By Tomorrow https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/vix-tops-60-highest-2008-screams-intervene-now Regardless.... remember that guy who in January bought 50,000 VIX April 65 calls @$.10? He's looking good! :)
  16. Scataphagos

    Can one of you metalheads explain why gold hasn't shot through 2000 today?

    I've seen this kind of thing before... not that this will will be like other, of course. Initially, gold bumps up as the market starts to decline. Then, gold "goes down less than the market".... resisting the decline. Then, gold capitulates to the downside. Perhaps it becomes a matter of "if...
  17. Scataphagos

    Sit on Hands, when risk per trade is too big?

    I know the opportunity seems juicy... but you don't have to make money today. What you need to do is to not lose a lot today (or any day).. and this environment is ripe with the opportunity to lose big.... or win big. Like I said, "red or black". (My preferred play has always been to take a...
  18. Scataphagos

    Sit on Hands, when risk per trade is too big?

    Unless you're the kind of guy willing to "risk it all on red or black", then yes.
  19. Scataphagos

    Suggest Putting Oils On Your Radar

    The OIH (oil services ETF) is down at least 28% TODAY ALONE. Sheesh! (I say "at least" because I can't get a read on Stock Charts.. likely they are overwhelmed today...) Suggest not being in too big a hurry to BTFD in oils.... Russia saying they can "sustain $25/bbl oil for 10 years". Would...
  20. Scataphagos

    Except For California, Trump Even Won Popular Vote In 2016...?

    Authored by Eric Zuesse via The Saker Blog, Hillary Clinton, of course, received the Democratic Party nomination in 2016 and was widely expected to beat Trump but she lost to him (though she won California by 4,269,978 in the popular vote, and so beat Trump by 2,864,974 in the nationwide...
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