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  1. V

    The fallacy of "continuous Kelly"

    consider the following (real life) bet...probability of 13/37 loses 1, prob of 24/37 wins 0.75 kelly fraction is 18% your kelly approximation (kelly for traders thread) gives 4% ..can u confirm pls? if correct then why so much difference?
  2. V

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    According to Schwager, for liquid strategies, a Gain to Pain Ratio of over 1.0 is very good and over 1.5 is excellent. Did you calculate yours using the percentage per month...i forgot to mention that before, apols.
  3. V

    From $3K To $50k In 2015

    From now on, will u be posting trades in advance, as mentioned in your 1st post, or just p&l after the trade?
  4. V

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    In the Hedge Fund Market Wizards book, Jack Schwager uses a ratio he calls Gain to Pain ratio. It measures return to risk. Can you calculate this ratio for 2014? The formula is very simple..sum up monthly returns and then divide by the absolute sum of the negative monthly returns.
  5. V

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Well done, excellent return!
  6. V

    From $3K To $50k In 2015

    gentle reminder to post before u trade
  7. V

    From $3K To $50k In 2015

    how much will you be risking initially out of the $3k, btw?
  8. V

    From $3K To $50k In 2015

    well, you'll have to wait till tomorrow evening :D good luck
  9. V

    Best European Countries to Trade from

    Use a spreadbet company, taxes on gains are zero. Offsetting that is that the costs of trading with them can be far steeper than with a futures broker. If you are willing to do volume, then you can certainly negotiate cheaper costs.
  10. V

    1% risk clarification

    i haven't read any responses here, so apols if what i say is duplicate. My answer is that it depends on how valuable $5k (or in fact any amount) is to you. If the money is not going to be easy to replace if you lose it, then you have to bet small. OTOH, if the amount is easily replaced (e.g...
  11. V

    'I Will Survive' rewritten for the Oil Industry

    https://twitter.com/sindap/status/547412296373665792
  12. V

    Meredith Whitney's Hedge Fund not doing too well

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-24/meredith-whitney-s-fund-sued-by-billionaire-platt-s-bluecrest.html
  13. V

    George Soros on Trading

    Charlie Rose interview of Soros in 1995. Soros states his performance record, how he did it etc. Worth watching the entire interview.
  14. V

    UK financier falls to death after divorce battle

    word on the street is that he was thrown out of the window by the russian mafia....
  15. V

    How to turn $1000 into $1,000,000 with options in less than 6 years

    why don't you piss off?
  16. V

    revive ET ?

    pictures of nude girls can work very well
  17. V

    Help me understand Nikkei futures (CME)

    Um, the dollar one!
  18. V

    Maverick wrong on OIL, Gold, Markets as usual.......want the Oil truth ?

    lol, the assets of the nation compared to the debt...probably 20/1
  19. V

    Total US Debt Rises Over $18 Trillion; Up 70% Under Barack Obama

    Dollar is now perhaps the strongest currency in the world...how do u explain that with all this money and debt being created?
  20. V

    Maverick wrong on OIL, Gold, Markets as usual.......want the Oil truth ?

    Is there a national asset clock somewhere i.e. clocking up all the growing assets of the nation?
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