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  1. TrAndy2022

    What does IBD/O'Neil/Marketsmith mean by Alpha?

    Why do you bother about ? IBD does not work. Just look on the ETF "FFTY" that replicates it. https://www.innovatoretfs.com/etf/?ticker=ffty&ticker=ffty
  2. TrAndy2022

    EA traders

    No EAs at all. Have not seen any good one in all the years. If you look on the mql5 market which has all kind of EA stuff you can imagine of, you will get very disappointed in the end when realtime tracking those.
  3. TrAndy2022

    I didn't realize how juvenile and snarky most of E.T. was, but...

    How does your track record looks like over the years ? If you cannot post a picture how would you describe your performance ? Have you been consistent successfully going short on ES or NQ Futures ? You swing trade stock index futures right ? Anything else ? How much points you make in a year...
  4. TrAndy2022

    Designing a Machine Learning model for forex prediction

    I suggest you read before you start developing such an ML /AI model:
  5. TrAndy2022

    Designing a Machine Learning model for forex prediction

    It is difficult to feed any ML / AI machine/model when you have no idea of basic fundamentals. It is like garbage in then garbage out. You need to take care of interest rate differentials when forecasting Forex moves. These are important drivers. Of course you can also look at other currencies...
  6. TrAndy2022

    Designing a Machine Learning model for forex prediction

    You should use multiple data streams, so you can get intermarket strategies. Only when there is no spurious correlation among instruments you can get an out-of-sample true profits. But do not expect too much here. It is not easy. But if you only look on one symbol itself you will not find any...
  7. TrAndy2022

    Pair trades

    https://greatpointcapital.com/what-we-offer/professional-trading-solutions/stock-leverage/ https://www.roarcapitaltraders.com/ https://alaricsecurities.com/
  8. TrAndy2022

    AI apps for stock analysis

    Forget them all. I tested many of them. None were good. You can only waste your time with AI apps.
  9. TrAndy2022

    Overnight Effect

    2023 has been disappointing for overnight effects on SPY. Let's see 2024, if that is a trend or back to normal.
  10. TrAndy2022

    2024 Stock Picks

    My pick is QQQ for 2024 and 2025. Diffult to beat for any individual stock as buyandhold.
  11. TrAndy2022

    Trend Following Strategies

    The trick is to scale in when you are right, so you have kind of trailing stop and then you get your position much larger when you win. That way I would say it gets natural for you to take some profits home when your position gets too large over time. So in the end late exit could be solved with...
  12. TrAndy2022

    Tell me some candlestick patterns and their forecasts

    What I can say for sure is that anything below daily candles as timeframe is garbage and has no predictive power. If you want to examine candlesticks I would first go with monthly and weekly candles. Then take a look on Out-of-sample performances. Any edge might be slightly only I strongly guess...
  13. TrAndy2022

    Forever Bull Market

    Santa Clause Rally started today. Average gain is 1.3% for the next 7 trading days. 76% win rate.
  14. TrAndy2022

    How is this strategy possibly sustainable?

    Why do you watch so many youtubers, they are all poor and they cannot make enough money from trading. So I would not listen to their advice. You will get to nowhere listening to them and analyze their garbage.
  15. TrAndy2022

    Military Expenditures and Performance of the Stock Markets

    Military Expenditures and Performance of the Stock Markets Introduction “Si vis pacem, para bellum“, is an old Roman proverb translated to English as “If you want peace, prepare for war”, and it is the main idea behind the military policy of a lot of modern national states. In the current...
  16. TrAndy2022

    What Can We Extract From the Financial Influencers’ Advice?

    What Can We Extract From the Financial Influencers’ Advice? Social media are often the main and primary choice of information in almost every area of our lives, and they also influence the financial decisions of retail traders and investors. A lot of people give opinions anywhere on the...
  17. TrAndy2022

    What’s the FED Perspective on Inflation Surprises and Equity Returns

    What’s the FED Perspective on Inflation Surprises and Equity Returns 21.December 2023 The period of high inflation in the 1970s prompted researchers to carefully examine the relationship between inflation and stock returns and to look for ways to avoid unexpected inflation. The year 2022...
  18. TrAndy2022

    Forever Bull Market

    I was very disappointed that today there was a ca. -0.20% overnight loss on SP500.
  19. TrAndy2022

    Forever Bull Market

    It is all about Money Management, how much you risk per trade. And the recent pullback of 85 points is within line of the 60 points pullback since early October.
  20. TrAndy2022

    Forever Bull Market

    The last correction for the SP500 has been around 11% dip. I do not think that the next corrections will be more than 5%. From a later point around president election I could expect another 10% correction coming or something like that. But too many people have been waiting for a correction to...
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