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Mav, Dont usually follow options, is getting a net credit telling you anything here or is this normalish. Also curious at your thought process for putting it on. Seems like there's limited profit potential with these.

The sell off today felt very orderly. No real panic until the last minute really. Probably have another couple days of this.

Unfortunately I've seen a lot uglier then this.

Fisher was on this weeks episode of wall street week http://wallstreetweek.com/ welcome back Mav

Current thoughts on FRO?

Fun times huh guys? Almost forgot what vol. was like. What do you guys think, do we just continue to swing up/down with big ranges but don't make any headway or do we breakout/breakdown? Some observations. With today's close AAPL is at +9 for me but still below it's weekly and monthly A down...

Yea I do some merger arb plays and anything that even comes close to a Chinese buyer is getting killed.

Thanks for this. I was really scratching my head when I saw gold confirmed on the nl last night and my thought process went something like this. Humm gold just confirmed NL wtf! But price action/chart looks like shit with almost no confimed weekly A ups But with the NL's you see things that are...

My 30 day on SPY is at -11 it hit -9 couple days ago. This is the first time its confirmed since early Jan My 30 day on GLD is at 10 and just confirmed o_O Don't know the last time it confirmed the NL but I know it hasn't for the past 6 months. Mav if you keep track of the futures can you post...

I'm trying to understand why Greek defaulting would impact the GBP/JPY cross or any of the yen crosses besides the euro for that matter. Is the yen really still considered some type of safe haven currency? That seems like a pretty big disconnect. On the one hand it's been made clear that they...

Looks like I'm gonna take a beating on my 30 yr bond short

GBP/JPY opens down 400 pips. Buying opportunity?

OK I'm gonna take a crack at this lmk if I'm way off. Variance is anytime price moves between our A levels without confirming. When it does confirm we have a volatility based indication that this is not just a variance move?

Hah not really! But thanks I'm gonna digest what you wrote and do some research on the terms you used. So when you said you are trying to predict variance you do this how? Could you give a recent example with a trade you put on, I think that would be very helpful to put what your saying in...

I think I'm with you so far. We have variance where moves are random, and volatility which tries to measure that randomness right? How do we apply that to our trading and ACD?Are we trying to predict future volatility and if we are, is looking at past vol the best way to do it? Reading over...

Mav this post went over my head. I think I understand what you are alluding to with time, time stops,time confirmations. But I'm not getting the variance part. Are we using ACD in the above examples? If we are using ACD as a guide wouldn't the fact that price went underneath our stop be the...

The only reason I can think of is because AUD is a commodity currency right? The fed meeting was very dovish which means lower rates for a little longer and beyond that I got the impression that even when they do start raising rates its going to be very gradual. So lower rates means weaker...

Mav at this point I think it'll be easier if you just trade Roberts account :D

Mav, Any sectors/stocks/commodaties making a +9/-9 on your NL for the first time in a while? Financials for me are looking good particulary BAC

Haha thought it was another random post until I saw who it was from :). Welcome back man, where you been, how's it going??