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Well you'd have to look at how the ETF gets its exposure to the future you are trading. I know for ES you can hedge directly with SPY. The relationship is 1 ES = 500 SPY. So for example if you buy 1 ES, 10 50 delta Puts on SPY will put you flat.

The article is about a high-sulfur "sour" grade of crude. No one wants that stuff when low-sulfur "sweet" crude is abundant. No real story here outside of click-bait.

No

I'll give you that. I was just being academic. Must've been someone else I never said that. I only said if you could reliably predict when HV will be less than IV.

You need to delta hedge to isolate PnL to just the IV/HV spread and the literature is just as consistent in saying perfect delta hedging is impossible. Edit: Missed the last sentence. If you could trade say, variance swaps which are pure IV/HV plays, then reliably and accurately predicting...

No, at least with options.

What do you mean by that?

Really? 2015 SPX looks at lot like 2011 SPX right down to the measly return. The sell off this year wasn't as bad but it was just as steep, in the same month even.

TWTR looks like a dumpster fire right now.

Countless threads on ET of people selling teenies and blowing out their account and finally one guy decides to buy them and makes 23% on his first posted trade!

Given the non-stationarity of the markets, I'd image the longest lived trades are discretionary traders.

Screams of curve-fitting and hindsight bias. There are five variables in which you provide no justification for the value you set them at other than "looking back this worked." That's why these dips still scare people.

Personal Property Lease Transaction (“PPLT”) tax? F***ing kleptocracy in this country.

Jeez yall are so negative. Your life isn't over at 30 despite what phoenix would have you believe.

A rent seeker can also be someone who provides an economically useful good/service but at an inflated cost (45k for 10 classes).

https://ttlc.intuit.com/questions/2399158-forms-1099-b-k-1-proshares-ultra-vix-etf I've never traded anything requiring a K-1 but I found this if it helps.

Well the burden of proof is on you to prove it does produce profits, especially if you feel the need to lecture others on how to trade. I can't say 1+1=3 prove me wrong. No, it is 1+1=3 here's why.... Then if you see I'm wrong you prove the contradiction implicit in the proof. You claim to have...

How do you expect to give back to the community, which you've said is your motivation for posting so much on ET, when you are not willing to explain anything about trading beyond 20/20 hindsight chart markups? Or given that you may not what to divulge your trading secrets which is...

How can you guys keep up this faux outrage year after year?

:D:D:D