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  1. Amalgam

    What Can One Expect from Negative Interest Rates?

    That's exactly my point.
  2. Amalgam

    What Can One Expect from Negative Interest Rates?

    There's no real appetite for debt in the world so this may all be just the beginning of the NIRP experiment.
  3. Amalgam

    A New Kelly Formula

    Something tells me you do care. I guess every mathematician and scientist is a noob troll now for demanding evidence in the defense of claims.
  4. Amalgam

    A New Kelly Formula

    You're not informing anyone by posting an equation with no explanation or rationale. Do mathematicians publish papers with just their final result?
  5. Amalgam

    A New Kelly Formula

    Then why should anyone use it?
  6. Amalgam

    Optimal Risk

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion
  7. Amalgam

    How to get list of expired option ticker symbols?

    Since every options quote has the same syntax, some regex/string manipulation should help. python would be a good language to try. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regular_expression https://docs.python.org/2/library/re.html I don't know if you can program or not, just the first thing that popped...
  8. Amalgam

    Ouch! SEC to put the crimp on leveraged ETFs.

    Buying a 2x levered etf would be like buying the underlying with 2:1 leverage then selling a call for $0.00 and delta hedging it perfectly so that your only loss associated with the option is from realized vol. However you don't delta hedge out the original 2:1 purchase just the option deltas.
  9. Amalgam

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    I loved that you called me a noob since my account is older than yours. :vomit:
  10. Amalgam

    Ouch! SEC to put the crimp on leveraged ETFs.

    It's not a bogeyman and daily rebalancing can significantly affect your returns to the point where an overall favorable move in the index can net you a loss. All leveraged etfs that rebalance daily are intrinsically short volatility. The higher the leverage the greater your volatility short...
  11. Amalgam

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    Given that you guys are talking in circles about nothing new, way to pay your self on the back.
  12. Amalgam

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    This is exactly what I'm talking about. What a load of gibberish.
  13. Amalgam

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    25 pages and not a single useful thing has been said.
  14. Amalgam

    Ouch! SEC to put the crimp on leveraged ETFs.

    Reg T margin is limited to 2:1. Higher leverage with margin requires a portfolio margin account with a broker that provides portfolio margin. More than that there's nothing that says you can't do this with options which provide high leverage but that can get messy dealing with the Greeks.
  15. Amalgam

    Ouch! SEC to put the crimp on leveraged ETFs.

    Rebalance process: It's just simple math. Hence my point of not needing to read a prospectus though it doesn't hurt. Let's use margin as our source of leverage. We want to replicate a -2x levered etf which means we want -2x the daily returns of the underlying. So what do we have? Day 1: Short...
  16. Amalgam

    Ouch! SEC to put the crimp on leveraged ETFs.

    True to my word I haven't looked at a single prospectus. Research: I saw SCO was a -2x leveraged etf so I looked for a -1x or +1x version of the same etf. I found a +2x but since this about replicating leveraged etfs in the first place I didn't consider it. I did not find a -1x or +1x version...
  17. Amalgam

    Ouch! SEC to put the crimp on leveraged ETFs.

    If there's an underlying you can trade you just rebalance your leverage everyday. Doesn't require reading one word of a prospectus.
  18. Amalgam

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    Pullback SPX will end the year green.
  19. Amalgam

    What Corporation to Start?

    But eventually you will need to collect your profits and you will be double taxed then. If you do LLC or partnership as mentioned earlier you avoid double taxation but still pay tax as you normally would. I don't know if you have special circumstances but as one guy trading there really isn't a...
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