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  1. Amalgam

    The longer you play, the more likely you will die

    Is it the education that's the key to their success or do the people who have what it takes gravitate to getting more education? Correlation, causation.
  2. Amalgam

    Poll: Long or Short the ES 1860 straddle

    Short
  3. Amalgam

    Leverages ETF vs margin trade non-leverage

    It's not "time decay" it's vol decay. And the answer of which one you should choose depends entirely on your forecast of future vol.
  4. Amalgam

    Amazing volatility - Will it last?

    Uh, your two examples prove my point....
  5. Amalgam

    This guy says China banks worse than US banks during subprime mortgage crisis

    By that logic who are you to call Paulson a joke?
  6. Amalgam

    Amazing volatility - Will it last?

    Vol is mean reverting so no it will not last.
  7. Amalgam

    Compounding quiz

    4*4=16 16-1=15 1500%
  8. Amalgam

    What is the best way to hedge a long SPY position against a future market crash?

    I'm not the one arguing against reality here.
  9. Amalgam

    What is the best way to hedge a long SPY position against a future market crash?

    Your opinion is of no importance as that sentence is a fact.
  10. Amalgam

    What is the best way to hedge a long SPY position against a future market crash?

    https://workspace.imperial.ac.uk/riskmanagementlab/public/wp05.pdf Read the first sentence of the abstract.
  11. Amalgam

    What is the best way to hedge a long SPY position against a future market crash?

    What does P/C parity have to do with any of this? Right now paying for 1 yr protection against a 20% decline in SPY costs you over 3.00% of the amount you're insuring. Do this year after year after year and your returns suffer greatly, hence it is expensive.
  12. Amalgam

    "Nothing Is Moving," Baltic Dry Crashes As Insiders Warn "Commerce Has Come To A Halt"

    The Baltic Dry Index has to be a parody of itself by now.
  13. Amalgam

    My problem with index funds

    Agreed. SPX posted 2 50% drawdowns in the last decade. "Low risk" indeed.
  14. Amalgam

    What is the best way to hedge a long SPY position against a future market crash?

    Index hedging is very expensive. Best hedge is reduced position size. There's still an opportunity cost but it's only relative at least.
  15. Amalgam

    Black Every Day?

    Feel the Bern ;)
  16. Amalgam

    How much should you risk?

    Funny, that you called me a troll and put me on ignore for asking the same thing.
  17. Amalgam

    CME BTIC has lots of potential to be an excellent trading instrument

    My first thought is that this would be useful to larger players as a way to concentrate liquidity at EOD on the closing print.
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