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That invisible hand is called an uptrend :) Trade, leave the conspiracies to Mel Gibson.

Bond futures were moving hard and fast today. Always something else to trade. Ever since I added ZB, ZN, EUR, GBP, and JPY to the instruments I watch, I've had a lot less boring days. Ik

Except you didn't benefit from the smugness, or at least shouldn't have because you weren't actually right. Given enough time -- any market opinion or prediction will eventually be proven right, it is inevitable. I think it was Taleb that said, "Even a broken clock is right twice a day."...

There is an assumption in the conclusion that we are still in a bear market since you said you looked for instances of this since the bear market has started. Personally, I don't know whether we are or are not in a new bull market (and I don't really care much either way, but if I had to...

Hope no one here had the misfortune of being long vega on bpur. I've seen vol come back in really quickly in the past but this takes the cake.

Does that mean you're dumping your longs, surf?

Apparently eSignal has market profile. Anyone know how to access it?

No, we don't. We let anything that is not big or well-connected fail. LTCM, anyone? Airlines are our current day example. They're getting a 3bln bail out package following a 15 bln bail out package following September 11th. The 3 bln isn't going to do anything, it is just throwing good money...

So you're returning 5 million a year and charging 3 million a year for a net return of 2%? After inflation you have a real return of (2% - (Inflation Rate for that year)). The average inflation rate over the past 80+ years has been around 3.2%, I believe. The inflation rate is now somwhere in...

Hey Dgabriel, You don't by chance have the lowry numbers for the nasdaq, do you? Ik

Am I reading my quote right? The front month NG contract is up 2.53 which amounts to 38%? Ik

Prove it.

Yeah I've always thought of how idiotic the concept that people throw around that certain days around holidays in the past 21 years tend to be up 65-70% of the time, and therefore that day this year should be up. Some correlation is desperately searched for because it's around a holiday, when...

Better hope they can't come out with that vaccine. This is one case where good news will be a lot more detrimental than bad news. I played the Dec options a little bit back because I didn't want to be short options into an announcement like that.

Does anyone put on any non-directional (in terms of price) short vol plays before earnings release sucn as but not limited to short strangles? Sometimes before earnings calls the volatility on some options gets pretty out of whack, so much so that they're pricing in price moves in the...

That's not true, ThinkorSwim has probably the best smart options order routing system I've seen, there will be times when I want to route myself, but any time I've gone with ThinkorSwim's smart routing system I've also gotten the same fills that I would have if I routed myself to the exchange...

Doesn't look like they're going to offer very tight markets. I'm thinking their strategy is is going to be enticing the big trades there since they're showing pretty large size on every bid and offer, or at least were for the few days before NITE got the injunction.

People throw around "but the government can always print more money" as if the process is like baking a cake. You can always print more money but that doesn't solve the problem because money obeys the laws of supply and demand just like everything else. Printing more money might settle some...

Hope schmope. They were expensive. Take a look at Implied Volatility in the past year on the DJX (I'd say DIA, but since they've only been trading options on DIAs a month or two, DJX should mirror the IVs on DIAs pretty much), now look at the IVs of the calls you bought, now look at IVs on the...

I'd be very hesitant about buying OTM options now. Volatility is huge, you're paying through the nose for the options and are going to get killed if volatility collapses. Other than that, good rally call :) Ik