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  1. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    Most monte carlo is done by running trading schemes over sets of real market data, but this type of calculation seems more straightforward. You know that I would argue that you can't know the 40%, but I assume it. This seems like you could just solve it using brownian motion with drift, or...
  2. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    I don't see where that is Monte Carlo, but I think you want to do is use the 'get external data' function in the data tab to import your time and sales (or whatever you are importing). Perform your row or column operations, and whatever, however I really don't understand the details of your...
  3. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    Why a spreadsheet? I would personally use MATLAB or something like it, excel doesn't seem like a good tool for serious analysis.
  4. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    I suppose, I just don't do it that way. Certain behaviors just seem to repeat, although not always exactly the same. That's my odds calculation.
  5. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    I think most people, including academics, lose sight of the fact that a market is made of people, not cards. There are no stationary stochastic processes that can be milked ad infinitum, markets are not some machine in an equilibrium that can be figured out. For the sake of argument assume there...
  6. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    Win 5 in a row? What if Eddie shows up? http://youtu.be/Qi13TyUaL80
  7. M

    Maximum sensible bet size for great setups

    I agree that pre-trade odds cannot be calculated, what further complicates the problem in trading is that the odds of winning is also dependent on stop size. This fact makes it not analogous to any card game.
  8. M

    Lenny Dykstra 'Nails' Says He Hasn't Made A Losing Trade In 2 Years

    Now if only Cramer could be sent to prison. Man what a sight- Nails, Clown, and Bubba sharing a cell. Bubba punches the crying baby sound effect button for them both.
  9. M

    the comeback of IncreaseNow

    what the hell kind of comeback is this anyway?
  10. M

    the comeback of IncreaseNow

    how about a private lapdance for fireplace?
  11. M

    the comeback of IncreaseNow

    still waiting for some action, my chubby for you has lasted longer than 4 hours, so should I seek medical help?.... well anyway you got the non profit part correct
  12. M

    Let's have a quick little discussion about orderflow and DOM

    The answer is within your own question
  13. M

    the comeback of IncreaseNow

    Increase, why the modesty? You are an economic engine of growth, be proud. I bet you created >20 porn industry (hand?)jobs in the last year alone. Now your fan base, me, is waiting for you to leverage up and smack these wannabes around. I'm hungry for some action, if you don't I am going to...
  14. M

    the comeback of IncreaseNow

    Quit trying to gain favor with your small talk humoring, IN's booming gay porn business is not relevant to this discussion. It won't save you, I can't wait to see how much cash my man lifted from your accounts today.
  15. M

    the comeback of IncreaseNow

    C'mon increase baby you can do it! Be the filthy money whore you are and get busy stripping cash from stupid cattle. Jack up that leverage and own those moves, you are the human rake, it's yours, TAKE IT. Man up and INCREASE NOW! mods, why is this in shit chat? this is a real journal
  16. M

    H1B Visa program has already ruined this country

    India was so rich and great they could not beat back a relatively tiny British invasion. India is such a nice place that we in the USA can't stop a massive inflow of immigrants. India 'invented calculus' yet was technologically behind for hundreds of years. Apologetics that oppose the...
  17. M

    what should I look at to earn 3K in a month?

    10 years of break even, then one month of 130% on $4k- ok great, I don't think the guy wants to wait 10 years for that magical month.
  18. M

    what should I look at to earn 3K in a month?

    work weekends and make $20K trade to make $16K still very unlikely
  19. M

    Yes, fat slobs and suidical smokers should pay through their noses

    Perfectly reasonable for fatsos to pay higher health insurance premiums, no different than paying higher car insurance premiuns for higher risk people. Smokers and drinkers will simply lie about their habits, so excise taxes on alcohol and tobacco should actually be used for alcohol and...
  20. M

    Why are you proud to be a trader?

    Condescenscion, projection, strawmen, ad hominem, boy you try every trick in the book don't you? everything except address the actual argument. Latest news flash: We are in an internet forum, we in a thread entitled 'are your proud to be a trader', this is what is known as argument for...
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