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  1. C

    Q4 2013: A Market Inflection Point

    I'm going to bed. Things look to be slowly going down in ES and overseas right now. Slowly. No panic...yet. You bring up good points. What are you and I debating? Timing. Timing is everything. You may be right and I may be wrong, and I'll lose a lot of money if my timing is off. But I...
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    Q4 2013: A Market Inflection Point

    Don't sweat it. A few of those points were yours truly. Nikkei too. Although looks like it's starting to pop back up a drop - which is great. I want to buy puts and short US stocks tomorrow and will do so right on or before the open. I hope we rally. With respect to individual stock and...
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    Q4 2013: A Market Inflection Point

    I have a feeling you're being flip, but anyway, I have ZERO opinion on gold. One of the harder instruments to trade in my opinion. I've never been especially good at trading it and it has been acting so whacky this year especially, I don't know what to make of it. I'll get interested again...
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    Q4 2013: A Market Inflection Point

    I'm not spoon-feeding you everything I'm doing. Tonight and tomorrow I'm going to initiate short positions on the indices and commodities mentioned. I'm also going to buy puts on some select stocks in the industries that I mentioned that I want to short. Do your own homework. As far as...
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    Q4 2013: A Market Inflection Point

    Not every trader you meet has a 20 second time frame for their positions. This is a 2-3 month time frame trading strategy. I think the timing now is pretty excellent to be short from a r/r perspective and with all the conditions I mentioned already. Some traders average or scale into...
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    Q4 2013: A Market Inflection Point

    Fellow ET'ers, I believe we're about to get an early Christmas gift from the market gods and the 1% Many, indeed most, traders and hedge funds have underperformed the S&P and hovered in the +/- single digit range for returns this year and for many going on several years. Wholly...
  7. C

    Another strategy bites the dust - CTAs

    They are all out. That article isn't really accurate. It's talking about the giants who all got their heads chopped off. Doesn't talk about the million little guys who died off over last 5 years. I like your handle. You will do very well soon. I'm going to start Monday in a big way. Why...
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    Another strategy bites the dust - CTAs

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/02/us-hedgefunds-ctas-idUSBRE9910RY20131002?goback=.gde_44059_member_5791926475296878594#!
  9. C

    Banana Republic

    You brought this up in a nice way. No personal assault taken. We're definitely on the wrong forum, but who cares? I'll respond. I have respect for freedom fighters and have even a small amount of love for them and people like Che Guevara who (tried to at least and) fought for equality for...
  10. C

    Running money for HF?

    I'm going to give you some tough love. No. Forget about HF. Don't even mention the word HF - you don't belong. You couldn't even get a job at HF with that track record, let alone raise money and start your own. Most HF right now only want to talk to guys who can manage 200M+, once in a...
  11. C

    I like this shutdown very much

    Yea, massa gave us a whole 1% dip yesterday before we started going back up. Massa is very generous. 4 or 5 of those a year and we might be able to start eating at olive garden instead of popeye's chicken.
  12. C

    Banana Republic

    This country is changing. A lot. It starts with the culture. The president now more than ever has to be "cool". This jackass obama thinks he's like a celebrity movie star. No more real leadership. But this terrorist thing is moving into a new phase where twice in one week you hear about them...
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    Banana Republic

    I'm glad you brought up Al qaeda. Even though this is a trading message board, it's a good point. Foreign policy is where Obama is really shining. The whole world thinks he's a laughing stock and a total pussy. He backed down from so many fights and foreign leaders already it's scary...
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    How would a U.S. default affect the average citizen?

    Global reset. All assets up for grabs again. So, since the average citizen is now unemployed or working minimum wage with no personal assets and some private debt, it would probably be a great thing for them. They might actually have a chance to buy a house or some stocks that are totally out of...
  15. C

    High volume, extremely narrow trading range - why?

    Sure. I'm glad you asked. Well, it's like this: somebody once offered me a bunch of kool-aid and I drank it all and went back for seconds.
  16. C

    High volume, extremely narrow trading range - why?

    It's because retail investors are holding inverse ETFs.
  17. C

    Shorts: get over it. The government won't shut down. It never does.

    On Monday cotton futures might move 1%. Spend Sunday acquainting yourselves with all the fundamentals and technicals of the cotton market. Shouldn't take more than an hour or two. By then if you're any kind of decent trader you'll be able to out-trade all the guys who've been focused on cotton...
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    Shorts: get over it. The government won't shut down. It never does.

    Shots were fired at the white house and our national capital is now on lock down LITERALLY. Also, our Gov't is shut down economically! Look at all the craaaaaaaazy action we've seen in those awesome bonds that mav loves so much. 4 basis point range over the last 5 days! Guys, get out there...
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    Shorts: get over it. The government won't shut down. It never does.

    Mav, I don't want to be impolite. You seem like a decent guy. But seriously, on many different matters on this thread you've demonstrated that you don't know what you're talking about. Do you know anything at all about the hedge fund industry? They're supposed to be the smartest guys in...
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    Shorts: get over it. The government won't shut down. It never does.

    Want a straw man? It's Keynes. Not Taleb, Keynes. You're blind, man. Since you started trading in 1995 the environment has never been worse for traders. There's a reason props are all laying people off and banks and hedgies laying traders off. It's not just regulation. If there were so...
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