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I've never said we should take a basket of stocks and keep re-balancing them to match the index constitution and value. But I do say you could hold the index ETF to gain exposure to its positive long-term expectation.

This is incorrect for the reasons I've given already. But in addition,its hard to believe that any private individual holds all 500 stocks which make up the S&P or even the 100 in the Nasdaq or even all 30 in the Dow. Don't even get me started on the FTSE100. In any case, investors do not buy...

You're right John as far as stock markets go anyway. But there's the reason also why so many long-only "investors" lose money - they see the prices of the stocks they're married to rise week after week. Then they read the Monday bulletin from their broker and realise that the last week wiped out...

I'm not talking about trading stocks, but trading the index itself. As you suggest, there is no inherent upwards or downward bias to the price of an individual stock.

The indices are rigged to have upwards buoyancy because as the share prices of weaker members fall, and their market capitalisation declines, they are continually being relegated and replaced by the next largest companies drawn from the stock market as a whole. So, the index value is constantly...

If you're talking about stick index ETF's, betting on indices falling is as said above good for short-term only. The stock indices are one market where the game is definitively rigged, i.e. weakening index constituents are continually being culled out and stronger ones replacing them, so the...

Phew. Thank goodness. Me neither.

It doesn't necessarily follow. Apart from anything else, the real estate demands a far greater initial capital per "trade", so participants are not the same group or characteristics. The stock market has such a low barrier to initial participation that any clueless idiot can be in within minutes.

You could use the sentiment indicators from various brokers etc., show you what % of clients in a pair are long or short. There's an argument that if you take the contrary view to the majority the indicator shows, you should be in with a shout.

Wait a minute. You get invited to parties?............

Martingale demands enlarging losing positions, increasing capital risk. Pyramiding means adding to winning positions, without increasing capital risk beyond initial limited amount. If this wasn't long-term profitable, I wouldn't have mentioned it. But note that it can only be profitable...

This is the opposite of Martingale.

More correctly, it is stock index values that have an upward bias, not individual stocks.

I don't think the OP is a trader.

There's no point selecting a stock like this unless you expect price to double. In an uptrend I ignore resistance and prefer to keep pyramiding but with something like this I would put a TP at a 100% profit level from entry: I'd still ignore resistance. My preferred entry would be back down in...

This is a stock that has doubled and halved repeatedly in the last 5 years. This is a lottery-type stock which I would personally avoid. You could play it using regular TA but I suspect it would be hard to trade due to spreads and unpredictable price quote moves. Or you could just take a small...

You've posted this message on three different websites I have seen. You've had advice. Take it or leave it.

What about increasing the time-frame? If the system works and risk is manageable on 15-min charts, what will it do on 4-hourlies? Then you could go off and do something else.

Its highly regulated in the UK, including strict licensing conditions for operators, segregated accounts for clients' deposited funds plus a deposit protection fund valid up to about £80k. Most people who use SB lose money. But most people who trade by any means likewise lose money.

See here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spread_betting#Financial_spread_betting For whatever reasons, it isn't authorised in many countries. Despite the name, it is hardly different from trading using other means of market exposure, though at least in the UK, spreadbetting profits have zero tax...