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As shown in the fact that vix is typically in contango and gets inverted in very volatile times .. Basically showing the mean reverting nature of volatility.. Good thread... Another nuance is the very high number vol number shown very near expiration.. Which is more a function of convexity...

They speak like lawyers answering a yes or no question with a long dependant response on infinitum ambiguous.. Blah. You put it so right.... The banks just follow their example with pure financial socialism

just was reading the fed meeting press release.. "The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen some further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent...

They are in other words stating they have nationalized the banking system... This is economic socialism... Which is just a stage to collapse... Obviously I realize this malinvestment scheme can go on for years and years

That statement your right really does feel like they are taking an absolute position on control of short term rates, and the amount of excess reserves. We have control with no chance of blowing up... Bottomline they believe in printing their way out of debt passing off this hidden tax as...

and here "No matter how many times the funds are lent out by the banks, used for purchases, etc., total reserves in the banking system do not change. The quantity of reserves is determined almost entirely by the central bank’s actions, and in no way reflect the lending behavior of banks."

take this statement for example "it is important to keep in mind that total reserves in the banking system are determined almost entirely by the central bank’s actions. An individual bank can reduce its reserves by lending them out or using them to purchase other assets, but these actions do not...

no your fine.. I'm glad you have posted... I'm just wondering.. what would make the bank want to liquefy their excess reserves instead of holding them and earning interest from the fed. wouldn't that value hitting the market cause alot of inflation.. What form of money are the reserves...

yes I totally get that.. Everything is a spread trade or pair trade.. like if i buy a piece of equipment i am implying that the return from the equipment within the context of my business is going to be higher then then just hoarding the cash.. or any other transaction for that matter...

like my great grandfather did.. bought property

I get it ... makes sense.. on a 20 year horizon government debt doesn't seem like a good idea.. nor does buying the market right now..

target fund?

i must sound like a radical haha..

I would rather own something real... something in my hands.. something of value irrelative of the dollar.. one would be intelligence.. invest time in autodidact education, entitle yourself as a person.. the educational system is in a bubble right now to.. cheap loans, over inflated crap...

your long usd if your holding cash... your right ... unbeknownst to most of the population they are all taking a stance on the dollar.. by either saving/hoarding, or by borrowing and investing

Safe is owning bullets silver and physical gold... Then how do you hedge deflation .. Long dollar short equities which nets out... Idk

A flight from the dollar will kill the spy...

Oh... How is that structure not just canceling of dollar exposure?

Your long the dollar?

"Fed sees improving economy, job market; September rate hike in view" - http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0Q30B420150729