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  1. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Sugar takes one more step towards recovery but still very tentative The overnight move was another step in the right direction for my long position in sugar so will again be watching the next session on Monday US time as to whether the price can surpass the resistance at 13.70. As previously...
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    Ag trade ideas

    Cocoa takes the second step towards a break. The cocoa price till the second step of a small positive move higher last night after the initial breakthrough and close above the 200 day moving average on Thursday. The signs are encouraging however previously there has been resistance at the 2200...
  3. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Cotton. Cotton still feels like it's got a little bit further to go on the downside before we can really look at the bullish trend resuming. The attempted rally on Thursday which failed and then sold off last night towards the 77.30 level just reinforces my view that we will probably see a...
  4. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Thanks for posting your rationale. Do you have a checklist that you go through across all ag products 9/all products) or were these just some considerations you checked because of your experience / picked up from your regular reads?
  5. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Cotton tries to bounce. Cotton tried to bounce overnight from the 77.50 level and pushed as high as the 80 cent level before fading back to close around 78.35. Whilst the session overall closed higher from the open this was a slightly negative signal and I think probably indicates the price is...
  6. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Sugar rallies a little from the lows but outcome still unclear. The big negative candle we saw yesterday was not followed up with another negative candle but at the same time the response wasn't significantly positive either. Definitely the right time to wait another couple of days so I and...
  7. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Cocoa peeks above the 200 day moving average. The price moved above the 200 day moving average last night and closed at a higher level. The candle itself is not that bullish but certainly the steady manner in which the move was made is a positive and I'm inclined to believe we might be looking...
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    personal blog: 'Not Just Inflation' on Google Blogger.

    personal blog: 'Not Just Inflation' on Google Blogger.
  9. C

    Blog: Not Just Inflation. This is my public trading diary. CommoditiesBullMarket.com is a...

    Blog: Not Just Inflation. This is my public trading diary. CommoditiesBullMarket.com is a resource + help for problems with trading.
  10. C

    I always seem to sell too early.

    I suppose what you are really asking is how do i deal with my FOMO (fear of missing out). The most practical way to do this with your existing strategy is to put on two 'units' everytime for one position. so if you want to buy a stock, are willing to spend $5k then one solution to satisfying...
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    What does Ed Seykota mean by "everyone gets what they want from market"?

    At first I thought this was rubbish and didn't make sense like some of the comments below but the more I thought about it and my own experience the more brilliant I realised his Insight is and why he has set up trading tribes and how those groups work. The key to the insight is that winning...
  12. C

    Cross market futures diary.

    Copper HGH8 has come a long way in a short time and typically I find the heavily traded assets prices rarely go for more than a 10% move before retracing back at least 3-5%. A 3% pull back would show a strong trend, 5% a decent break and past 7% I would start to question the strength of the...
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