Search results

  1. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Does anyone have insight into sugar and coffee moves last week? Especially Friday's session. Strong out and then reversal by the close
  2. C

    Ag trade ideas

    thank you
  3. C

    Ag trade ideas

    is that differential priced in GBP? I just was looking at the current spread in GBP and it seems somewhere around 148? Am I comparing the same thing?
  4. C

    Ag trade ideas

    sorry what is FND just for my learning?
  5. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Out of wheat at 440 on a to stop order . not particularly happy about the fill but I couldn't take the risk of it kept on going lower. Loss about 1.5 k. Should have exited it 460 on the break below the 61.8% retracement of the initial move. I noticed sometimes after exiting a trade that I had...
  6. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Out of short sugar last night. roughly 12.40, entry at 12.66 so small profit on 1 contract but the main point for me was the price is just taking ages to get through the bottom of the bullish candle from the 19th of March and there have been so many volatile days in this recently i'm not keen to...
  7. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Well at least you didn't miss out on that move in cocoa last night after being 8 contracts long and getting out at 2488. Didn't follow my original plan to take half and leave the rest on to deal with my fear of missing out. Well at least I'm a step closer to what I'm trying to do but f*** it...
  8. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Ok thanks @i960 appreciate the clarification. Main thing is I don't want to go outright on futures and I need to get out my view via options instead to better manage my risk.
  9. C

    Ag trade ideas

    so you're also thinking of a potentially explosive break to the downside of the support through 111? or are you referring to 100 (roughly as the support level)? Thinking about both sets of comments (@i960 and @Rachmaninov) has helped me clarify what i want to do, I want to buy an explosion...
  10. C

    Ag trade ideas

    So you're thinking it will put on a decent rally from here? USDBRL is roughly driving sideways for most of last year and i can't really see too much more negative news from brasil actually moving the rate too much. Certainly can imagine USD moving higher on the rate hike scenario/inflation...
  11. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Sugar ends the session down but the bulls are still in the equation The price action on Tuesday was encouraging for my short position however it wasn't a total victory. The previous day's bullish hammer candle had a huge range and the close on Tuesday was only just below the body of that hammer...
  12. C

    Ag trade ideas

    I need to focus on getting less trade signals - or only take cheap option positions where I have a short term view. I'm looking at a few trades at the moment and thinking for trades where I have a view that I want to express but the location of the current price relative to the support and...
  13. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Wheat has a down day but posts a higher low. Wheat posted a somewhat positive day after 3 days of sharp declines. Whilst the open to close was still a down day, my positive takeaways were the higher low and the limited trading range indicating a partial rebuttal to the bears and also showing...
  14. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Cocoa provides an opportunity to exit and I jumped. After the big negative signal on Monday, a rally which I half expected might occur for the bulls to re-establish the up trend provided my exit opportunity. I was watching the opening of the session pretty closely and lucky for me it more or...
  15. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Cocoa price sees the rush for the exit Big correction yesterday after a couple of days of consolidation and perhaps an obvious top looking at the rounding nature of the last 3 days price action. I was thinking about taking profit early in the session but the price kept on moving towards 2560...
  16. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Coffee about to get sucked down to 111? My sense is that coffee is about to get sucked down to the 111 level after making a break below recent lows and the relatively weak recent price action as well as the strong volume on sells seen on the 3rd and 30th of January, 12th and 16th of February...
  17. C

    Ag trade ideas

    @TraDaToR fundamentals i'll leave the others to talk about but just on the price action i tend to agree with @i960 and that does not dissuade me from staying long for now. I assume that opportunistic traders/floor specialists/smaller funds make the most use of stop levels and so I accept there's...
  18. C

    Ag trade ideas

    do you mean the gap at 470?
  19. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Short 1 SBK18 @ 0.1264
  20. C

    Ag trade ideas

    Long 1 ZWK18 at 476
Back
Top