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http://www.amazon.com/Logical-Trader-Mark-B-Fisher/dp/0471215511 its this book..

Selling meat and buying otm skew... Your taking a position on the change in skew.. I hope you realize that.... HV tells you nothing..... Implies are forward looking HV is backwards looking... So your looking backwards to trade forwards literally.... Your big payout is on large jumps and skew...

quite a good call.. first chart is the more recent chart of the spread talked about in the article.. second is the curve as of the close...

http://stockguy22.com/grain-markets-old-crop-versus-new-crop/ i'm not sure what you guys think about this call.. he is fading the front month n, or "July' here and buying z, "Dec" i'm not sure how you feel about this statement.. being "max" risk.. "For this trade I would be looking...

sorry for the double post.. here is the call skew.. and the average of the put and calls call skew here is the call/put smirk by call and put average

haha i've said that to myself to before.. i actually trade volatility . it is clear to me how much more clear it is to trade when vol goes up.

Fisher states that your looking for higher volatility days to trade , just as a generality ..plus there is a running day count.. so theres all these things that cumulative help you to create a bias to put a trade on..

i wonder how different Crabel is from Fisher

are you talking ACD

that was a great call by you.. i was in at 15 and out at 20... thanks

current curve.. .

bro.. i've seen you post alot of legit stuff.. this thread has become trash.. don't waste your breath..

i see no one knows anything about playing energy curves?

quoting you here from the CL thread.. i actually was talking about futures contracts.. instead of options here.. but options could be used although it would be a different play with the strike risk involved in buying options calenders..

i'm going to answer you in the other thread..

if your new.. make sure every position you put on is of a completely boring size.. if you can't get there with the particular spread.. don't trade it.. half of getting anywhere is surviving being new.. oh and don't sell wings.. just a rule of thumb... its very hard to hedge wings as...

hey.. not to interupt.. but if any of you energy traders.. know anything about some of these energy curves.. take a look at my post.. could use some insight .. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=265065

that sandwich looks good!

just a thought here.. this was a rather extreme move up.. looking to use a bull or bear calender spread in the futures to take a longer and shorter term position in the futures... basically 1 thought is to fade the current move in the front and go long in the back.. i have a little...