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I remember Lenny Dawson and his famous "Choir" huddle when I first started watching the NFL. Along with head coach Hank Stram they were the last great KC Chiefs team before Mahomes and crew along. He was also half of the original Inside The NFL show on HBO back in the early 1980s along with...

This seems pretty accurate, however its very easy to get banned on reddit -- they are extremely ban happy. Currently on r/WSB the posters use "regards" instead of "retards" because reddit will ban you for that word. I mean they banned a whole subreddit because they were triggered by the orange...

You do have a knack for shorting. You're like Livermore who was referred to as "The Boy Plunger" because of his great short trades. The easiest tell in this market is TLT & UUP. A rising UUP & falling TLT means destruction is coming for certain. I believe on 8/16 the trend changed from going...

The low quality growth-at-any-rate trade looks like its over especially with the DXY rising and rates going back up. Looks like its back to SARK.

Are there any non-liberals at CNN? There used to be back in the 1990s when they had a legitimate Crossfire show. CNN really destroyed itself with the daily triggering from Trump. I think I read that since Trump was in office they lost >70% viewership. Even before Trump they were dying with...

I think in this current market UUP or DX futures have proven to be the counterweight. In any day the global markets rise UUP almost always is way lower -- at least 50bps or more. The VIX may be broken but the US dollar isn't. In fact last Thursday (8/18) UUP broke above the short term...

According to this graph by Wolfstreet: https://wolfstreet.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/US-Fed-Balance-sheet-2022-7-07-assets-long-.png The Fed would have reduce the balance sheet by 8 Trillion (or 90%) to get back to 2007 levels. Truly amazing. The problem is the companies thriving right now...

It is a boon for options MMs I assume since the number of contracts will skyrocket since it will be easier to buy options on a $300 stock vs. $900. Look at GOOGL or AMZN its very cheap to buy calls/puts on them now for the retail trader.

The HKD/AMTD was never pumped by the r/WSB crowd, but the clueless press took the ball and ran with it. BBBY was and still is being pumped by the r/WSB crowd.

The ultimate Risk ON indicator is issuance of IPOs and recently SPACs. I think an indicator that the Risk ON trade is about to end is the rise and collapse of the meme stonk trade. When the current BBBY rise and collapse happens the up move is probably over.

I won't say he's a permabear but he is very good at shorting which is an unusual trait for the big money managers. A lot of the money he made from 2001 to the real estate bubble was shorting tech stocks. After all on twitter he refers to himself as Cassandra.

I knew when the oil & nat gas stocks cascaded lower back in July the energy trade was over. It makes sense that inflation is about to roll over as well especially since corn & wheat are also down heavy. I Melt With You came out at the end of 1982 in Modern English's After The Snow LP. It was...

That is great summary of the 2 parties in the US. You got better insight than all the mudslingers in the Politics section. The Democrats morphed into a party of upper middle class & wealthy after loss of Carter and the rise of Clinton and the DLC. They completely abandoned the working class in...

Why did the market sell off yesterday only to come back at almost exactly the same high as yesterday? The RSI on the QQQ dailies is 72 so it can probably go to 80.

Rates Have Peaked == Skyrocketing ARKK gains.

I'm surprised she didn't look at all these Cryptocurrency support companies like COIN, HOOD, RIOT, MARA, etc. as just a binary trade on the direction of BTC. COIN may have been helped by Blackrock but since BTC is going higher she should have kept COIN. As long as the "rates have peaked"...

And its up 5%. Imagine if they actually made money.

Why do you need 2 separate threads for your permabear rantings?

One of my favorite songs from the early 1980s and a pretty good album. Also great during that time was "Sex (I'm A...)" by Berlin in 1982 before they started making songs for Hollywood and Altered Images with their "I Could Be Happy" & "Happy Birthday" songs in 1981.

It seems unlikely that the bear market is over fundamentally but if the Fed is done with the 75 bps rate hikes, then it probably is over. If CPI is still high and the Fed stops raising rates they will look even more foolish than they look now. I put the odds of a hot CPI print yet again which...