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  1. bone

    Energy; what's the outlook?

    North America has forever changed the supply side of the hydrocarbon equation. Big time. In fact I would be much more inclined to trade crack spreads and distilled products and storage in lieu of Crude Oil or Natural Gas.
  2. bone

    The Trading Pits Are Coming Back!!??!!

    "Box has argued that open outcry trading is better for large transactions and that its new trading floor would encourage better participation in large trades." Wow, the Toronto Stock Exchange knows better than CBOE. You know nothing, Jon Snow. I mean, the CBOE electronically facilitates block...
  3. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Not true. This is his third thread on the topic and he's been calling tops since February. I do not think the OP is a tard as you say - likewise, he's been incorrect and stopped out to date with his other threads. The market certainly feels overextended, but institutions are chasing yield and...
  4. bone

    How do you approach trading spreads like this?

    Well, some execution platforms may require that exchange supported, or "implied" spreads be enabled within that platform. In fact, I can think of a few execution platforms that dont even support exchange spreads. Some retail clearing firms don't support exchange spreads (their bread and butter...
  5. bone

    Hypothesis: Technical Analysis only works in the immediate short-term

    Having used both, I'd take a proper trendline over linear regression any day of the week for the my purposes at least. Elliot Waves and other wave count generators don't work - at least I've personally never seen it hold up with any consistency over time. But they do make convincing charts...
  6. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Yes, at some point in time the market will go down. But the OP's threads have been wrong to date, and his shallow profit targets do not recover his losses from February to date.
  7. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Bull Shit on You. Plug in Bloomberg Time & Sales into the MatLab Machine Learning Toolbox. And Statistica. And S-Plus. Not a Short in the lot greater than intraday. What are you "mining" with ?
  8. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Exactly. Dead nuts on. Wavering confidence for such a MACRO call ...
  9. bone

    Hypothesis: Technical Analysis only works in the immediate short-term

    That's where algorithms are born .....
  10. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Hope this targeting covers the losses from your other manifold short positions initiated and "covered" since February. Maybe 2448.5 would come close ?
  11. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    The objective is to start a poll/thread in February, be wrong, rinse and repeat (on third thread and counting) - eventually be correct, then declare total and absolute victory.
  12. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Oddly enough, Mr. Greenspan sees no bubble in the stock market - but sees one in the bond market. Apparently his "irrational exuberance" is a bit fickle. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-31/no-bubble-in-stocks-but-look-out-when-bonds-pop-greenspan-says
  13. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    You've been at this since for a good six months now - eventually you will either be correct or if trading real $$ out of capital !
  14. bone

    Crude is screwed, man.

    I think that if a market "fits" you - trade it and never mind anyone else' opinion. All markets have cycles and their own unique idiosyncrasies - rock on.
  15. bone

    Arbitrary daily loss limit at prop shops - why?

    I've had quite a bit of experience with prop futures firms. From my experience, the daily stop-loss is not arbitrary - it's fixed for all new and intermediate traders. Traders who have been big earners at the firm are, of course, given a lot more rope - and are even allowed to carry open...
  16. bone

    Arbitrary daily loss limit at prop shops - why?

    Are you referring to a prop futures firm ?
  17. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    1. You draw or recycle trend lines like old people fuck. Poorly. Not proper. Use the body of the candle. 2. You like to bend the context of descriptions to fit your volente-sexSLAVE like! like! Like! Love fest narrative. I suggest that Weekly data and a PROPER trend line would add better...
  18. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    If you used Weekly data and trend lines IMHO you never would have gotten sucked into this unending morass of nonsense. I'm not saying that you would have gotten long, but even Stevie Wonder can see that a macro short call is completely unwarranted. WTF would you pick 2500 ? In context that...
  19. bone

    The S&P 500 has topped at 2430 on 6/1/17

    Good luck with that premise also. The Fed is NOT going to hammer anything. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have liquidated much of their loan portfolios, and the QE money supply saturation has for the most part been phased away. In fact, corporate tax rate restructuring is the big wildcard on the...
  20. bone

    The S&P 500 has topped at 2430 on 6/1/17

    No, not at all - if a market grinds higher under "adverse" news that's bullish. Institutionals are chasing yield. Yeah, equities are getting expensive. But interest rates and commodities haven't been getting it done for them. Just because your premise hasn't worked out to date doesn't mean...
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