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  1. C

    Vega trading

    what do you mean you use a maximum of 5 days?? are you saying that is your hold time? just trying to find some context
  2. C

    Vega trading

    Another is sell a vix put and buy a otm vix call spread
  3. C

    Vega trading

    Long vix calls.... Nothing fancy.... A little differnet profile then a spx put... But a spx put would be a good one to....
  4. C

    Vega trading

    Why not something more directly effected
  5. C

    Vega trading

    How come you picked T instead of something else to play the fed?
  6. C

    interesting chart..

    Yeah i think of it as a binary bet with asymmetric payoff... heads you lose .85 cents , tails you have a long term winner easy triple your investment
  7. C

    interesting chart..

    GREK ETF will survive as oppose to NBG might not
  8. C

    interesting chart..

    this is what i found riddick... "TheStreet Ratings team rates NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE as a Sell with a ratings score of D. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation:" no crap... it's a distressed asset period.. This would be like buying a company on the small chance it...
  9. C

    interesting chart..

    This seems like a decent binary bet on complete default.. any fundimental ideas on this one .. http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=NBG+Interactive#{"range":"max","allowChartStacking":true}
  10. C

    Vega trading

    i still think you should be buying implieds right near the event in which you believe vols will go up... buying longer term vols won't do you any good.. That is like buying jan 17 straddle on spx for this sept 15 fed meeting.... won't work
  11. C

    Large sorting in R

    I would recommend R... I would also recommend getting into the IRC R-finance chat and asking for help.. alot of packages are running more powerful C programming in the pack ground for speed..
  12. C

    Vega trading

    sorry if i'm confusing.. volatility is mean reverting in the long run.. your basically implying the mean will elevate, not that vols will just go up.. if your trading around a particular event best to position yourself closer to it , as longer term vols might not be effected
  13. C

    Vega trading

    Why would one year implieds go up ... The tendency is longer term options to be closer to mean vols... Therefore midterm vols could go up and long term vols might not move very much... If you think longer term vols will go up sure that's a good expression as new world said but that means...
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    CBOT Dec 2015 ICS Ratios

    Ahh. I see. Thanks
  15. C

    Oil stocks

    http://www.unitedstatescommodityfunds.com/documents/pdfs/unitedstatesoilfund-pro-20150518-1.pdf a constant rolling in a futures curve... being as it that oil is in contango right now.. every roll is selling low and buying higher causing a negative drift.. people call it different things.. read...
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    Trader Radio

    no kidding.. Most news is no news
  17. C

    CBOT Dec 2015 ICS Ratios

    what do you use these for?
  18. C

    Trader Radio

    I buy books on audible and listen to them
  19. C

    Oil stocks

    It's a consensus , crude to 30
  20. C

    Is iv skew the result of an error in the Black-Scholes model...

    Know your weapons..... In some situations an otm call will do better then a short put....this is the beautiful part of options a taylored expression to your desire
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