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  1. O

    greenspan and the crb index

    I think people generally use whatever supports what they want to do and make people think. Greenspan apparently wants to create inflation to keep the shakey economy from caving in the aftermath of the stock bubble. Eventually he will have to raise rates to chase this inflation out of the now...
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    Ameritrade won't let me short QQQ

    The market has been in a more or less downward trend for about a week (if you look at something like a 120m swing chart.) Four of the stocks I trade rolled over and showed short on 12-1 or 12-2. I shorted all with Datek/Ameritrade with no problems since most traders were still long. While...
  3. O

    Which technical indicator is the best?

    No shortcuts Grasshopper....start reading, start experimenting, start papertrading the many results.
  4. O

    Which technical indicator is the best?

    Price, volume, time, lookback period, volatility...indicators measure these issues and maybe a couple of others singularly and in combination. Only you can decide how to trade with them, what to trade, and what time frames suits you. You will never see two traders doing quite the same thing the...
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    Rental prices lead housing prices?

    I ran across an interesting chart in today's readings and have attached it here. It shows that the CRB Commodity Raw Industrials (basic materials for making just about everything) vaguely tracks the Fed Funds Rate. Sometimes it diverges for a few months, then corrects and more or less tracks it...
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    Rental prices lead housing prices?

    One thing that comes to mind in reading your post is that a net migration to Florida from boomers coming of retirement age is an event that would be a long term trend of like the next 15 years or more. A real estate pullback would be of a shorter nature, with max pain out of the way in a few...
  7. O

    Rental prices lead housing prices?

    There is no doubt market tops and bottoms are impossible to call and that markets can extend themselves in both directions much further than anyone can imagine. Although I too own some residential rental property (since 1984 two single family homes, and help manage several more through a...
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    Rental prices lead housing prices?

    You might want to check this book out. http://www.realestatetiming.com/freepreview/intro.html It's a very easy read, and outlines an objective method of real estate investing. The author is a second generation investor/ developer who outlines his good times, and the other times he...
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    Hypothetical scenario - how much would you risk?

    Just entering this data into a Kelly Ratio Criterion calculator you come up with 58% bet size. Information about Kelly and the calculator is here... http://home.golden.net/~pjponzo/kelly-ratio.htm With past trade history information available I would be more comfortable using something like...
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    Monte Carlo simulation

    Try this link... http://unicorn.us.com/trading/prosizer.html Prosizer is an Excel based program for $37 I plan to add into my trading in the next few weeks. I would be interested in what you think about it.
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    Cutting losses - not the best idea

    I have thought the same Romeo. When mrmarket talks about his 43 consecutive profitable trades, there is the implication that in his last 43 stock purchases all are winners. This of course is not true, Mrmarket has just chosen to sell 43 of the stocks he is holding that have gone up 15% or...
  12. O

    suggestions?

    The CDRW for software backups is a great idea. I had not considered it, I was thinking CDRW would be for cutting music CD's, something I am not really into. The second HD w' RAID is something I am not sure I need. Right now I have been using a Maxtor 20G for years, I have only taken up 4G...
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    suggestions?

    I read somewhere that the Intel Motherboard I listed (the Gigabit) had an outstanding LAN throughput built in. Is there an advantage running a seperate LAN card? I have a couple laying around from the cable company, should I use one of those or are new ones like the 3Com offered from the...
  14. O

    investing in the real estate market

    This book may be of help... http://www.realestatetiming.com/freepreview/intro.html The guy who wrote it has 30 years experience buying, holding, and selling single family homes and apartments in the San Diego, California area. He has made a fortune and lost his a** at different times...
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    suggestions?

    Well, true. I have not really used my floppy in a long time either. I guess it's kinda like a VCR. I don't use that much either, but I kind of like to have one around in case someone gives me a tape, etc. Should I order my new 'puter without one???
  16. O

    suggestions?

    Suggestions? I am buying a new computer next week after driving my old poor Pent II into the ground for the last 6 years. I will need to be able to run eSignal 8.0 (coming soon) with charts, Jurik and custom efs studies as well as ProSizer (Monte Carlo Simulation), broker software, etc...
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    Anyone trading with Advanced Get or TradeGuider?

    Two years ago I subscribed to GET with mixed results. The MOB feature is kinda cool; the Elliott feature (like all Elliott everywhere) is intellectual masturbation looking through the rearview mirror. Not much use for traders. With GET I was lucky to break even on trades. If you like Elliott...
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    Money management

    This subject is something I have been wanting to explore more and more lately. Someone recomended this web site as a simple, cheap, but powerful program that works within Excel. http://unicorn.us.com/trading/prosizer.html A more advanced money management scheme is something I am...
  19. O

    Another HUGELY successful $$$MR. MARKET$$$ pick

    And Martha Stewart wants us all to bake perfect cookies. We all want jail time. :p
  20. O

    Another HUGELY successful $$$MR. MARKET$$$ pick

    Whoops....you are correct. Still kinda early here in California. I just went to a state college though...should have saved for a real education like mr market has. :D
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