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  1. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    The pattern is attached to show how all the pieces fit together. B is black for trending long and R is red for trending short. The Hypothesis set (Seen in your post) dictated the pattern and that discussion is best left to logic, algorithm and paradigm theory. The riddle of induction's...
  2. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    Here is the IAS.
  3. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    To look at a chart of a stock that is on the batting list requires record keeping on the Daily Analysis Sheet. Here you see how, while holding, a person keeps track of the order of events in an assortment of ways. Formations and trends are handled best by examining the pattern.
  4. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    The Initial Analyisis Sheet is completed by doing the chart analysis where the stocks evaluated come from a sorting process, Spyder explained this to xburbx most recently in a thread now being destroyed by another OCD of ET, talon's thread. Quality assurance is used to sort stocks from...
  5. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    to use boolean Algebra you have to use the coefficients of the power series of base 2. You need to know that any base raised to the zero power is 1. to prove this to your self use power rules and set up a ratio of equal powers and cancel and see the ratio is equal to 1. we sum the decimal...
  6. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    The consideration of the trading cycle was determined in 1957 using the hypothesis set. The concept has been used by four generations of people. The attachment shows 8 part of the cycle and each one has a score. Intradaybill expressed how software works best by encoding the degrees of...
  7. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    We have worked our way back from an Excel universe to the batting order to the rules for trading the stocks. Obviously just a list is needed in real time to pick off the timing during the day for entering the trade and later exiting the trade. I showed 30 snapshots of the list in "Putting...
  8. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    Years ago we critiqued Trader666's fiasco back test. And we went further in support of his potential learning process. He ignored both our critique and our learning support. He did one further thing: he failed to report out his backtesting of the additional learning support provided to him...
  9. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    The Universe Excel as you see it is incomplete. Some data is missing. The data is done by completing the IAS mentioned and referenced before. The Excel is sorted by the column entitled: Date. Date stands for the next time the cycle begins. In scoring terms this is when 0 goes to 7. We...
  10. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    As you look at the Excel, you see it has no relationship to trading open to open. Successful position trading works on the basis of timing the markets. (See the PVT journal). The stocks are keeped in an organized manner; see left column with their numeration for ID's. This also lets you...
  11. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    I'll post a brief "kit" for you of items that follow from your reference to the hypothesis set above. I'll work from the results back to the Hypothesis set in a few posts. Attached is the resourse Excel that was used for the trading this week that I mentioned. This is the list type that...
  12. J

    The charting software dilema

    Yes. The practitioners I know are very skilled at using these two resourses. However, the better ones have not been mentioned in this thread. Do you ever go to Vegas?
  13. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    There are many people like you and 666. Calculate the cost of the trades and put it on the print of the graph. Combine this cost with the average loss per trade. Run a test for stat sig. Also chart the old forward test done before ET was in existance. It is great to post gee whiz...
  14. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    Mostly everyone's intentions are to help others out. My orientation to this matter is to use my past learnings and applications to iteratively refine where I find a another person is operating. Some snippets that respond to things that are on the table in no order of importance. A/D is...
  15. J

    The charting software dilema

    Okay. I asked because I wanted to see what you had not considered (unobtruxively); there are some interesting platforms that are introducing more than the traditional orientation you are saying you have. All the indicators had to be modified from their originator's defaults when the PC came...
  16. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    Your story makes a point about how an ATS can be set up for use and also maintain its efficiency. I be;lieve a lot of people have had to sit down and figure out how to go about creating a system that operates like an experienced trader would. Another way to put it might be the...
  17. J

    The charting software dilema

    You may wish to post a snagit of your screens. I'm not sure of ET policy on naming names, but it wouldn't hurt for others to see how far you have progressed in "seeing" the markets. you have looked around for a while as I understand it.
  18. J

    The charting software dilema

    I use four vendors, presently. My strong hope is that within 5 years the vendors reach a suitable level of services for supporting traders. I read this thread and jotted some notes down regarding the events that made progress possible in the past. Currently, it is possible to attach...
  19. J

    Avoiding Curve fitting

    Your query had a lot of definition and showed a lot of thought. I am an example from that era you mention that had contributions to facilitate what people were doing. Market characteristics are just a few steps away from how markets operate. The market cycle manifests at some point as a...
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