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8 percent implied on a 680 is like a 54 dollar straddle.. pricey... but its a double up if the guy actually did buy the straddle.. in this case.. the strangle would have killed it..

wow is that right... do i see pcln trading at 573 after hours.. thats a hundred dollar move.. did this guys straddle just make him crazy money.. i hope you had that straddle through earrnings.. man.. these days these couple hundred dollar stocks nflx, gmcr.. etc.. just keep going way otm and...

yeah Taleb... you can totally tell by his philosophy he was constantly dealing with options trading etc.. can't wait till his next book comes out.. And his Character Fat Tony is great... but i'll tell you i haven't found an effective way to bleed slow and turn out big profits....... i have...

whats "DIA" mean anyway "D"id "I" "A"sk your opinion how many posts is appropriate in my life? haha... i have voice to text.. and i'm bored speaking spanish to mexicans in the hot sun all day cut me a break... i'm hopefully reading and learning my way out of this situation.. at least i...

i understand and agree with your statement... fat tails and black swans are similar but at the same time two totally different things... the farther out in the tail you go the fuzzer things get.... and no matter how overstated that might be in skew no amount of miniscual probability is worth the...

No amount of skew can make up for black swans. That's by definition...a little more risk premium because of fat tails sure.. but to be technical a black swan isn't predictable and is never and could never be quote on quote priced in... way out wings have no way of being prices right. Never...

Dude I know only a little more then you do..... if that . Your doing good

Your making it more complex then you need.. watch the adhd.... not sticking to close to condors now are we... every trade has its place based on vol... term structureetc... look at a particular instrument.. give examples specifically Near term butterfly. Longer term credit ratio spreading.

By double Calender you mean long a call Calender and long a put calender

I as well hate how they always state the delta in different ways.... Another thing about this strategy i think about sometimes... Is what do you consider the position size... The first spread you put on, the first time you roll it goes up 150 percent.. For 80 percent of the credit.. The second...

Follow you or not... I was curious as to your ideology behind your trades but I can tell you follow yahoo like a hawk.. and its probably intuition and wxpierence

Yea...its a different strike structure the apple.. little more granular control of strikes on butterflys and credit spreads..at least I'm just not familiar with 15 dollar stocks with dollar wide strikes. I'm not stupid for thinking there's a difference right

Sorry I'm a nancy lately... I'm very curious about trading stocks that aren't in the hundreds of dollars at expiration...

Good insight... but I haven't lost a lot but I am loss adverse.. I have to get over the feeling...

Theta... not data... read a few books.. and then a few more.. I'll look it up

Good question Let me ask you 1 thing if you read that 1 thread that was posted about there being no greeks related to binary options do you really think instead of binary option it out of the money that goes further out of the money and time passes there is no lost in value I e data

does the price being at 16.26 mean your sitting on your hands waiting for it to come down? are you sitting on hundreds of short call options or what?

you are so daytrading options ... with the way you talk... you should start talking targets now.. ahah

haha becoming a trader will make a skeptic of anyone! haha you always feel like their is a hole in everyone's story of how they made money.. especially when they are telling you how they made money..

i've been thinking the better thing is to emulate the probability distro of your instrument.. if it has a super steep kurtosis with fat tails.. butterfly and wrangle it in such a way that it looks like the distro... ANY THOUGHTS ON THAT