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now this is with only six days till expiration.. you take your loss if you have one right here.. anywhere pass this if your sitting around the 175 area your really gonna get hurt.. no you figure if you only do 1 short 173 and 5 long 176 its only gonna cost ya like 160 bucks to put on.. most you...

look at this ratio i constructed... totally perfect for a blow up to the upside.. with limited risk.. i went out to just 10 days to expire.. and you can close the trade without really getting into any max loss territory.. .. so i model it so that you have a month for the thing to go up and if...

well if you have a trajectory even like in your head for what 15 or 30 days out considering previous ralleys look like.. i just posted some distros based on historic volatility.. 170 is on the edge of a 2nd stardard devation move.. i would bet a slightly more modest bet is better.. and just...

<a target='_blank' title='ImageShack - Image And Video Hosting' href='http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/3/glddistro.png/'><img src='http://img3.imageshack.us/img3/1836/glddistro.png' border='0'/></a><br>Uploaded with <a target='_blank' href='http://imageshack.us'>ImageShack.us</a> <a...

ok.. lets think about it this way.. we are a month away from sept expiration.. if we picked that one.. 30 days away considering we are 12 dollars into the rally.. where would that put us come expire .. generally speaking?

ok here we go... this is a fly that is 4 striked.. 159_163_167 cacti do you have a target? if you think its really gonna break out .. flys do get cheaper as you go farther otm.. <a target='_blank' title='ImageShack - Image And Video Hosting'...

hey man i did some reasearch i wanted to share with you concerning using synthetics instead of the underlying.. crazy better leverage.. tie up way less money.. UL vs. Synthetic... margin requirements Short Put Position Short 1 Sep 160 puts(s) at $2.56 Underlying stock at $160. Put...

those sharp melt up triangles on low volume never usually end well.. at least thats what i am speculating.

i just took a intro to philosophy class.. Got an A ... the instructor had a freaking hard on for Nietzsche... in my opinion the guy said alot of great stuff.. helped realized how in limbo we are with out determinism but still.. i have alot of crazy friends in the many years in AA that have...

i read this whole book last night "Trading Realities: The Truth, the Lies, and the Hype In-Between" pretty interesting.. it was an easy read.. gave me a little insight into the Gold/yen trade.. borrow yen for cheap buy gold pay back etc.. etc.. the book went into HFT and basically...

awesome read.. thanks for the link.. fav author.. maybe its the slanderousness in me that can identify with him so much... and i love his views about how the gov is all buying out volatility making things even more antifragile..

as we kick the can down the street.. the day of wreaking we seem to forget... The gov speculating on inflation and GDP growth to pay back bonds on debt they bought the bottom out of the market with... i can just picture the lords of academia "just turn the interest rate adjustment knob, such...

i haven't read all this thread yet .. but wow this is good stuff... just sucking it in... i'm a options trader wanting to dig deeper into the world of term structures, pairs, etc.. etc..

wowi 'm dumb

Platonism.... over simplified bottom lining smooth blow ups! A good trader makes the smart wall street manipulaters look stupid.. dumps a shit ton of money out of the market and keeps from getting addicted ie Livermore

Therecordshowsthatitisbettertobedumbandantifragilethan smartandfragile.

you know what... i'll post a couple flys on the GLD how about that.. i wouldn't mind following a few trades with ya.. i've always watched gld.. make a little money with a backspread a while ago... Say if you have a target thats otm a few strikes.. its cheap to put a long butterfly with the...

this is a call fly on MPEL .... 1 strike wide.. for next months expire... take a look at it... i'll post a few more as i am looking at a trade on this for a friend... i'll post 2 strike wide.. otm etc.. etc.. you can do this with all puts or calls... or iron butterfly where the center...

iron butterflys are just using both puts and calls... the examples i used are all calls... 1 call lower strike -2 calls next strike up 1 call another strike up.. i'll show you a picture here in a sec

do you know that the kid that started this thread was gone like a couple hundo pages ago!