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  1. J

    Investing Catechism

    ET is an amazing place. Its funny to look back after 50 some years of trading and using money for various things. It was also fun to be part of the academic community for different periods. It is amazing the conversations that may be had with the govermnent position holders on financial...
  2. J

    Making my use of stops more methodical and effective

    In the past Traderzones has been asked to post spread sheets. He doesn't get around to it for various reasons. You can simply check out the various vendor test sites for how a particular trading method is assessed. 30% a week when doing intraday trading with a method means that you...
  3. J

    Hesitating before a trade

    Take a careful look at how long carving a trading turn is available. It is about 20% of real market time. To see this trading window clearly, a good method is to have a display that allows you to see the end of profit segments coming up and beginning of a new opportunity coming into the...
  4. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    Heres a cute signal that shows you which stop losses aren't going to get hit
  5. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    I'm sure my comment on intelligence is humorous to a lot of people. Here is a record of the smart money the second half of today. Take a look at 12:40 -41 (tucson time) on the YM, ES and this chart. Use a 2 min and OTR for the YM and Use a 5 min and OTR for the ES. Now use the formula...
  6. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    You missed by a long shot. The history of his arrival, his search and his creative period and finally his present development is text book. Trader zones is similar. Trader666 is not on a par with either. T666 is just not an orderly person and represents, moreso, the shortcut seeker...
  7. J

    New study says: Technical Analysis is garbage

    The chronology of various types of analysis is fairly well articulated in Krugman's recent paper (06SEP09). You may want to address behavioral analysis and the types of analysis that orient to information theory. In both TA and FA that you do mention there are various maths involved. Once...
  8. J

    Nesting Fractals

    Dealing with RTH continuity is very important. The nesting of fractals points this out. It takes quite a while to deal with arriving at a set of building blocks to complete a system. By working through, thoroughly, the complete picture we would all arrive at the same place. As time...
  9. J

    New study says: Technical Analysis is garbage

    The study builds on prior work. Everyone notices that five rule families were used for classifying rules. One of the rule families couldn't be used with the MSCI, however. The daily averages for developed and non developed classifications were ranked by order of performance, thus 0.11 was...
  10. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    The daily occuring "settlement" is significant. It is not a precise time since it is a cummulative activity of the full range of the financial industry. Smart money trades all the time and smart money definitely takes into account the bias introduced by settlement conditions, circumstances...
  11. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    Whisky My posts were made to accomodate that the child was female. This will make her reading easier. Previously, I posted on the 2 out of 3 trades and someone else finally posted the 8 combinations three things [consecutive days in this case]. The subject was logic as it relates to...
  12. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    OP, do you think you can get off the probability for one day? several people here have been making a small effort on a very simple level to give you an opportunity to see the markets. what seeing means is simply allowing your sensory vision and reading processing to get one small glimpse...
  13. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    There was a print posted. then it was followed up with an OTR chart showing the market ooperation at that time. I posted an annotated follow up. It shows that there are some partial fills on turns where the corresponding print is coordinated with a OTR profile type chart. The chart is...
  14. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    I like the nature of these folks. they have followed this same pattern hundreds of times. what makes it so neat is that the market follows a pattern too. they "fight" their mind's desires to trade well by getting into OCD patterns that are as reliable as market patterns. Why do these...
  15. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    I've enlarged and annotated the short pattern for you so you can see how a person annotates a trend using our symbols. they are not unsual. In fact I am often accused of using stuff invented by younger people than me who started using what I use after I began. they are all noteworthy, since...
  16. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    thanks for the schematics, Jay (ehorn).... Here is the basic pattern as given to Michael Covel as a gift last week. Your reactions to my comments are typical of a person who trades in a conventional wisdom atmosphere. Just relax and look at the 9 or 10 bars over a 45 to 50 minute...
  17. J

    Michael Moore Kills Capitalism With Kool-Aid

    Check here. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2607927#post2607927 The thread is closed for some reason. If you have a comment on my post, comment here.
  18. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    Trading the around the Margin shift bar is cool. A lot of hope centers on not having the IB shut down the trade in a loss position. then the margin shift comes along. Since there are always more losers than winners getting shut down (or driven to reduced margin when upside down.) due to lack...
  19. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    In item 2 above I screwed up. replace left with right. THe pt 1 and 3 determine the RTL and it has to be on the right and can't be on the left. Sorry.
  20. J

    Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    The 8 year old game proof of winning 2 out of three times using deduction. In Geometry people learn to do proofs using deduction. This proof will be familar in format because of this. What are the givens? 1. It is possible to nest fractals. 2. To correctly nest fractals, completed...
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