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  1. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    Marketsurfer didn't get straight what he read. he did not get trend failure straight nor taking profits straight. Neither do most beginners. Think of marketsurfer as a beginner and making beginner mistakes in trading. A lot of traders in ET have suggested that if you enter a trade also...
  2. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    LOL.... So you pooped out at the regular place all beginners poop out. LOL Dow came up with that recitation about 1900. I suggested that you deal with trend failure for a moment to get acquainted with how trend monitoring and analysis works for successful systematic traders. See if...
  3. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    Sorry, I must have sounded pedantic or something like that. In the development of monitoring and analysis many degrees of freedom can become involved. Fortunately mathematics provides guidelines on how to not cross the forbidden lines in modelling and development. Many people, although...
  4. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    Proving that the market does NOT sum up to randomness is NOT difficult if you use the null hypothesis.
  5. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quote from ProfLogic: Excellant question . . . . yes, but it a whole lot harder to extract consistent profit from it. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------...
  6. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    Intradaybill's Q's and their subissues can all be dealt with mathematically. Once a person loses his requirement to deal in probabilities, the maths solutions are more and more self evident. The mathematics involved is not college level mathematics which means most traders can deal with...
  7. J

    Does trend following have an edge?

    If one places trend trading in the category of edge trading, then trend trading has an strong edge comparitively speaking. Commonly, quantifying and qualifying an edge is pertinent for this sort of edge strategy user. This would define what the edge is. Recently there have been several...
  8. J

    Why choose to be a Trader??

    It is not difficult to scope out the people of whom you speak and ID with. I am not amomg them nor do I have to deal with any of those topics. Being amateur is where to focus. Being successful does not require full time trading. There is an unliimited amount of money to be made by...
  9. J

    For those of you who know what you're doing.

    So, its okay you do not understand what a global variable is. As a trader progresses towards expertise, he needs to deal with functions of functiions. what this means to a person who is savvy is that functions are plugged into functions. A consequence is that more than one level of...
  10. J

    For those of you who know what you're doing.

    As a footnote to my prior post, it is a good idea to look at the forks in the road on the way to expertise. As a person succeeds in spending year upon year in an expert modus, he can lift up his head and look around at other proceedings to expertise by other paths. It is very heart rending...
  11. J

    For those of you who know what you're doing.

    In order of importance: 1. Accurate clean complete data. Get this taken care of as soon as you learn of the need. 2. When dealing with data services, be sure the service allows exisiting functions to be used in created functions for the data services This is sometimes referred to as a...
  12. J

    how much do retail traders know about big boy's positions?

    Originaly the SEC, when they began to use computers, could not differentiate between parasitic technicians who frontrun or "insider traders" acting on tips (non public information). Today, the SEC has learned to not fool around mistakenly with expert traders. The SEC also misses most...
  13. J

    Developing a Strategy

    Everyone has opinions on your post. You got a sponsor to respond for his selfish reasons at your expense. Trading is making maximal use of the compound interest formula. A rough outline of a year would be to take 1,000 dollars to 1 million dollars, position trading a stock Universe...
  14. J

    What do you think

    Most people conclude that all strategies have lives. A closer look reveals just a distribution of the traders of these strategies. Good strateies are oriented to market principles. You are not in that boat nor are hedge funds and their strategies. Look at your question set to be able...
  15. J

    Getting down and dirty is where the rubber meets the road ...

    I'll get on the ball here soon. As I understand it, people are making the connection among annotating, logging and making money. You are also aware of the leading lagging nature of the markets variables. indicators, etc. This is called putting the peices together. in a nut shell, the...
  16. J

    Trading is NOT a business

    You asked about the three indicator defaults. after the PC came into existance and then after real time data became electronic, the designer defaults became extinct. the phenomena most apparent was the "bridging" of cycles. think of it a a long canoe that is longer than the waves of the...
  17. J

    What indicators do big-time professional futures traders use?

    So how come he didn't go long @ even and take the profit. @ .75?
  18. J

    how much do retail traders know about big boy's positions?

    A similar scenario is front running price movement. Technical traders collect "tells" from the markets. Their specific interest is in collecting the market's offer at an optimum money velocity. All the above is outside of the box vis a vis the financial industry. Historically, a...
  19. J

    Futures trading and huge orders

    S Holmes is not the persom to look to. There are no posts so far that cover your interest.
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