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Same thing with Technical Analysis - you can make a case for anything (especially if you include worse than useless analyses like wave counts [Elliott and Gann never work in real time]). Which is why I recommended the OP pursue statistical time series modeling and NOT T/A.

You can find enough information on the internet, published by enough “subject matter experts” - to justify ANY hypothesis you care to posit. Doesn’t matter how outrageous. And still only about 50 traders (Likely far fewer according to Michael Lewis) foresaw and took advantage of the subprime...

The strength of “petrodollars” as a “pillar” as you claim has been transformed the past several years due to producer origin. The United States is now the largest Crude Oil producer in the world. And by a comfortable margin over Russia and Saudi Arabia. And I’m quite sure that US refiners and...

Google “modeling financial time series”.

If you are up to it, I would like to recommend an alternative: statistical modeling and data structures of financial data - for example, time series analysis. It will serve you much better. Just my 2 cents, I wish you good fortune.

Other than "orange man bad" - it's too easy to get lost in the demagoguery. A paradigm shift has already taken place in the past several months. Now, a very legitimate argument could be made against the use of tariffs - but China would be very mistaken to think that a Democratic House and...

Follow the path of pain. I'm sure that there are plenty of stunned shorts in the market...

Crude Oil is buying it.

The article completely ignores the effects of globalism - and more specifically, the profound negative consequences on the US working class from NAFTA and corporate outsourcing.

Here's the thing. The CCP shoots people. In the back of the head. Sentences citizens for long stints of hard labor for violating currency laws. In fact, as of August 2017 Chinese Bank employees and foreign banks are now required to report overseas spending via domestic Chinese bank accounts...

China will find very little sympathy from the Democratic Party. Many candidates don't like the tariffs - but every one of them has openly stated that China needed to be confronted. Forbes: Dear Chinese Government, The Democrats Won't Save You...

:D:D:D Yes, you definitely have to consider the source:p That and the Chinese are famous for backing out of tentative agreements at the last minute as a negotiating strategy.

Huge power move up across the curve on the backs of a strong broad equity market move. https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/The-Permian-Craze-Is-Fizzling-But-Shale-Oil-Production-Isnt.html# "The frenzied Permania that had oil and gas companies rushing to the O&G hotspot may be on...

Well, as a general rule - leaders of countries don't agree to meet under extraordinary circumstances unless there has been substantive progress towards resolving an issue. That's just standard statecraft.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-06-14/curve-sanity-not-what-most-people-want-hear-or-see Great information here on why the yield curve is such an important bellweather component for all things financial and markets.

There's plenty there if you can get past your own political sensitivity - great piece on the yield curve: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-06-14/curve-sanity-not-what-most-people-want-hear-or-see

Great piece. Thanks.

I’m afraid that US foreign aid (and military spending for that matter) is likely to become a casualty regardless of which political party holds power - domestic priorities like single payer health care and infrastructure are going to require intensive re-prioritizing. I’m not going to say...

Cult of Mac June 13, 2019 More Apple suppliers looking to manufacture outside China Two more manufacturers which regularly do work with Apple are eying up new potential plant locations outside of China. Wistron is reportedly looking to open a factory in the U.S. or, as a backup, Mexico...

I take your point. My impression from the 60 Minutes Australia piece was that the Chinese OBOR program isn’t a grant in aid - it’s a Loan where China takes over the port facility if the loan doesn’t get paid back. And Myanmar has no way of paying back the loan.