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I would love to see some model that extracts all the "money print" premium out of the market

thanks!

http://www.federalreserve.gov/whatsnext.htm when would typically the fed meeting details come out to the public.. says 28th-29th.. what time and which date?

i was reading this last night.. Don't know how much of it is legit.. http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2013/06/81-5-of-money-created-through-quantitative-easing-is-sitting-there-gathering-dust-instead-of-helping-the-economy.html

I've heard some one say to me that in the trickle down of money the top tier gets the best advantage as they don't feel the effects of inflation at the same rate in which people farther down the latter do.. I understand this.. but It seems at least to me that alot of the money hasn't showed...

"Cramer is the biggest toolbag in the industry. He should be in jail. The book Trading with the Enemy to me is probably a real good assessment of how Cramer got to where he is. He could only make money when he could bully his brokers and plant false rumors." I haven't watched his show in...

So in Vegas you can buy gold at spot prices?

Very true.... Just a cheerleader for althe home gamer... I was just looking at gvz and gold and realized his call was right near the top .. And lately I've been reading so much on monetary policy and the history of monetary controls.

at the time? he was trying to load the public into as much gold as he could at 1600-1800 dollar levels.. this was not the time to buy long term.. if anything now would be the time to start allocating an amount to it..

what a freaking joke.. Talk about a perfect top! Any thoughts on Gold right now.. Gold volatility is at a relative high.

Sometimes people that completely subscribe to efficient markets and random walks believe there is no way to make money buy or selling options.. just as if a market maker hedging sold or bought options would never be able to profit from anything other then lower then customer transaction costs...

It's just trading volatilty.. It's not something you can isolate completely.. There are other risk you are taking.. And yes you can trade options as simply as you would like.. the option greeks are not cool aid.. They are derived to better dimension reality as flawed as they are.. all models are...

Vega trading. If you wanna be long volatiltiy you would buy an option, sell delta number of shares. Volatility increases, your option would be worth more, while at the same time your short position would remain the same. hence, you would make a profit. This is just one example.. Obvoiusly You...

Option's greeks are an instantaneous value of the rate of change.. They change all the time.. Maybe there was a better delta bet you could have made with a calender or something.. sell in front of earnings, buy a farther out at the same strike that doesn't expire before earnings.. maybe near...

Trading MZ has huge variance but ya your right relative to the underlying... I think its easy to think to in terms of direction when its a relative value trade.. A so called bull spread can go against you easy in a rising market

My experience has told me how critical position sizing and staying away from the front contracts is.... Heed to my warning...

You mean less steep... The vol around last week had it pretty steep

This is exactly what i was saying.. How are you to price options on USO given the changing costs associated with the positive and negative slope at the point in which the etf is rolling? how do you model fair value considering that variable?

Why not take an expression on the degree of contango in spreads on the larger sell offs? I'm not sure there is a trade here other then just a long call or call spread a year or two out on futures.. All this etf talk is crap.. I've never heard anyone describe a model for pricing their options

You can't take a long term view on most any commodity without risks like these!