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  1. C

    Derivatives are the key to the rabbit hole

    i heard the word "hole" and had to look
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    Experience with buying US Coins..

    Ya I just got into it... Best deals I got were at a show... Ebay is high for culls... I think it's a great time to start if your on a twenty to 30 year horizon like I am....
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    Billions

    Now what did you think of the big short..... Love the way they portrayed burry
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    Puts for Yield

    like i was telling him.. if he doesn't incorporate a model for vol, in which he has edge.. he is adding risk, not reducing it..
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    Model for Volatility (VXX, UVXY, VXZ)

    sure... sell vxx and hold... just don't margin up to much
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    Puts for Yield

    this is all dependent on the level of vol you sell... your selling implieds... . your taking a additional position on implied vol.... likely the market prices vol correctly and you sell the put and on average over time the number of times you make money compared to the number of losses you...
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    Will the economy collapse in 2016?

    a correction based on the cost of money changing... everyone has some crazy narration
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    Model for Volatility (VXX, UVXY, VXZ)

    your going down the wrong road... just buy vix puts when there is a hard spike in vol... best risk reward imo... thinking that you will find something because there is some complex derivation of a crappy etf is wrong imo... plus who wants to hold a product that has some kind of varying...
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    All Black Boxes Eventually Crash

    guy has a Rothschild as a funder
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    All Black Boxes Eventually Crash

    which atticus is he talking about in that article .. is that your blog?
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    Hillary Clinton just proposed a new tax on the richest Americans

    she is a complete fraud... I don't understand how she is allowed to run for president!
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    Hillary Clinton just proposed a new tax on the richest Americans

    what a bunch of fluff.. how much notional do you think this will bring in.. all propaganda..
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    Best thing you will read all week: Charlie Munger's Mental Models

    Torture reality. I like that
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    SP500 - High Probability predictions for 2016

    always easy to be right when your not going short.. most guys on wall street tend towards this behavior as it ends up being right more often then not..
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    Experience with buying US Coins..

    ebay has the strength of street knowledge.... it is the everyday man's auction.. I took partial payment for service in a coin today actually... he showed me a stone mountain commemorative silver quarter and i took 45$ off the bill.. these go buy it now for 65 on ebay.. condition depending...
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    2015 market performance

    Ok George Soros
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    Can I trade futures with borrowed money (trading on margin with margin)

    Many times in order to exploit price differences you lever up yes.... Of course if your risk management isn't good then its the perfect blow up recipe
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    Should I take a $200k loss to offset profits?

    Seems a function of math.... Measure the risk of being out of the position verse losing the tax benefit... Put it into numbers!!!!
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    Double Butterfly spread

    ya... i agree calendar spreads are highly directional... what i'm getting at is.. if crude stays in steep contango for an extended period of time those flys roll off the curve much similar to calendar spreads themselves... I have yet to find a way to get stationarity by a construction of...
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