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    US President election and Trading

    Exactly!!!!! I am a full blown libertarian
  2. C

    US President election and Trading

    Obama might be a good dude and all but he has no concept of free market economics
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    US President election and Trading

    Nothing changes nothing changes....both major candidates are the same... They agree with special privileges to corporations... They are interventionist and both are looking to forward their power and wealth through the state.... The idea that its the end of days is stupid... Just trade one day...
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    Double Butterfly spread

    but the question lies.. where does the out of sink future go in the fly.. typically in a single fly if say june is out of sink and trading at a premium.. you sell that as the meat and buy the wings
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    Hillary Clinton win = what for the economy?

    Both are centralist and completely terrible people... No one cares here what foreigners think in socialist countries... We were once libertarian here.. those days unfortunately are gone.. we have become a collectively nation run by autocrats
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    Double Butterfly spread

    likely in a significant dislocation you would never need to extend out that far to isolate a disjoined month in the back in order to get a good return.. A single fly will do the trick... and a double fly will definilty be more then enough..
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    Double Butterfly spread

    Trendiness or near stationarity. . If you get with the right broker your commissions should be 2.25 one way per future... Which makes a lot viable... In and out of a fly your less then 20 bucks or .02 cents in crude... Which if you can't make sense of that prop commissions won't help you
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    Double Butterfly spread

    i'm not sure alot of the guys posting here spread trade, or even know why you would or what the advantage might be.. going off on a margin/vol tangent isn't important.. you can make money trading spreads with just 20% of your account on margin.. and the variance if you are picking the right...
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    Double Butterfly spread

    completely off.. spreads are exponentially less volatile then outright
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    Independent Option trader

    What ever you do don't quite your day job for years after your profitable
  11. C

    Easy options question for new trader

    a deep otm backspread is only a black swan hedge... as a decent outside move you can lose ... this would only be a hedge to keep you from blowing out.. you have to run a bunch of simulations.. build a model, run it through different types of markets.. likely you will often have to put the...
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    Options pricing (basic question)

    I like how you used "people" as its market demand and not the idea that its some model output, which it isn't... Prices are a function of "people" and their views and expectations of the market
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    Double Butterfly spread

    i'm thinking mostly you have found a part of the curve you would like to isolate in a more hedged way... like a 1331 or a 14641 the farther you go out pascals trangle the more nuetrality you get.. this 12021 fly might likely be as stable as a 1331 fly, i would think it would be more about the...
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    Double Butterfly spread

    Would love to hear some thoughts on when someone would use this... I imagine you could +1/-2/0/0/-2/+1 as well.. but when does this make sense
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    Double Butterfly spread

    That's cool....thanks for sharing.. not sure when this would make sense...
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    "High Pressure Economy" - Yellen, very important tip-off today.

    She is asserting that they don't have the effects that they desire and wanna do more...everyone knows it takes very little reason to keep interest rates low..
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    Easy options question for new trader

    Deep otm ratio put back spreads in es .. or otm vix calls... Either way it sounds like your just shorting premium.. there is a bunch of ways to do it.. but using vix etfs is just another way
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    Options pricing (basic question)

    Dividends are a factor in options pricing
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    Options pricing (basic question)

    look up skew... many times because of the behavior of the underlying , the market demand creates a skew.. meaning a higher price for puts then calls... in commodities its many times the opposite
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    Vanzandt's important post

    this is SPAM
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