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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    i was under the impression that a lot of insurance derivatives were created for investors to cover the euro being no more, the query is if they decided to forgive debt,erase it, how would the insurance policies be dealt with..i thought it was overleveraged derivatives that brought us down in...
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    What do you consider noise?

    start from the wide angle and work in,for the simple reason that the big money moves the market and because of their size it's a gradual signal,they have the dough,they have the largest positions,they have the most risk,they would be the in most vulnerable spot,it would be in their spirit of...
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    Billionaire trader John Arnold retires at 38

    i think we do they are goldman.. jp..jeffries a few others
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    thanks
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    but arent there a massive amount of complicated derivitaves built around the debt that were never there in past debacles
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    when other countries have defaulted or say the US forgave 40 billion in debt to brazil,i'm not sure,asking, were there several derivitaves a.k.a. godldamn sachs that would still be expecting to collect,in other words,making the forgiveness of debt impossible
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    Billionaire trader John Arnold retires at 38

    my point was for post bear stearns,lehman,bailout,fed crawled into bed with goldman,zero int,more rigged than ever..stil tradeable,you just have to watch for which lies are coming apart,those are the fundamentals
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    ES Journal - 2012

    don't go short into the end of month,' 1st of the month and don't believe the 1st of month rally will carry,especially in may
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    Billionaire trader John Arnold retires at 38

    i buy lotto tickets and never look at them,when people ask my net worth,i tell em i'm a multimillionaire, but not sure how many million because i haven't checked lately
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    What do you consider noise?

    noise is what the parent's of a successful musician have to listen to while the kid's growing up,if he/she makes it,it becomes music
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    What do you consider noise?

    there is /was an unwritten 10 day rule in brokerage houses, if you were pumping lnkd for instance,you couldn't buy and then sell 1 point higher into your customers, you had to hold it for ten days
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    ES Journal - 2012

    click your heels 3 times and say "no such thing as playing on the houses money"
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    ES Journal - 2012

    some brokers would know it was an offset and honor it,others might see it as 2 independent t risks and your margin would be needed on both,tos for instance offsets margin wth long and short options..years back proactivetrading honored it and amp did not and they both cleared thru dorman
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    ES Journal - 2012

    a 4/1 or 6/1 ratio is a lot easier to hold than a 10/1 or greater,those tend to reverse more often then the lower ratios
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    ES Journal - 2012

    need to hold the 66 wide nip from earlier 72 68 66 chart,dvol uvol showing trend day, may get a 11-12 30 cst bounce,odds are lower
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    CL Redux

    add 98.03 offer 98 60 ,same stop stop moved to 98.25
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    ES Journal - 2012

    flat on 66 touch
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    ES Journal - 2012

    japan dropping like a stone
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    ES Journal - 2012

    aapl on its way to 525
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    CL Redux

    long 98.27 ,target 99.27,stop below 97.75
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