Funny enough and you know I like being a contrarian , I've got the eur/Usd that's showing on the daily chart a day trading set up I like(of which I would go in heavy) that's says it's going higher on the bigger TF .
What your saying sounds interesting and makes sense, I've never really been a fundamentals man myself, price action, order flow and what the big boys are doing. Usually strong moves like the usdx (initial BO stage move) continue.