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  1. bone

    The S&P 500 will top next at

    Too bad you weren't shorting the Euro Stoxx 50 - you'd have been GOLDEN since May. Of course, you would have been sodomized being short Feb through May over there too.
  2. bone

    What would you guys do to boost your confidence in trading?

    Using the smallest sizing possible find some way, any way to become consistent - that can be a particular market, a strategy, a technical set-up, some sort or inter or intra-market correlated relationship, a machine learning program ... the path to consistency could entail any number of things...
  3. bone

    Do trading education scammers (99.99% of the "industry") ever feel guilty?

    Well, to be fair, in terms of trading educators and mentors it's pretty hard to defend the indefensible - which is the vast majority unfortunately. Yes, the question of honest and effective trading education is very much suspect and deservedly so. Buyer beware. It's also a shitty feeling...
  4. bone

    Do trading education scammers (99.99% of the "industry") ever feel guilty?

    Not sure if that was meant as hyperbole, but if a teacher/mentor proclaims 49 out of 50 clients as "failures" then IMHO that's really screwby. And again, hyperbole withstanding blaming the clients for that kind of outcome seems perverse to me. Just my own 2 cents.
  5. bone

    Do trading education scammers (99.99% of the "industry") ever feel guilty?

    My guess is that social media and web search Companies respond to any whim of the Communist Party of China, the Chinese People's Liberation Army, and far left censorship fascists in that particular order - all others pack sand apparently. Under criminal indictment for felony defrauding the...
  6. bone

    Why Do Pairs go wrong?

    Software is only good for initial screening in terms of choosing inter market spread candidates - the Bloomberg terminal Beta plot is one example of a software tool. It takes experience and proper spread trading technical methodology to select the best candidates to model and possibly trade...
  7. bone

    Why Do Pairs go wrong?

    I'm hard pressed to think of a worse behaving ill-tempered futures spread than Gold vs. Silver. There are literally thousands of better futures combinations in terms of modeling reliability and trading success.
  8. bone

    Took out a loan to transition to full-time trading. 24 years old.

    This, to be polite, is a highly suspicious thread.
  9. bone

    Do trading education scammers (99.99% of the "industry") ever feel guilty?

    No, they have not been in operation for quite some time - I've been following up on them and fortunately they have a cease and desist order in addition to criminal felony charges formally filed. I've forwarded the Criminal Complaint to YouTube administrative management twice in order to get...
  10. bone

    Why Do Pairs go wrong?

    I've had several former ace Bright Trading Traders and a former Morgan Stanley Pairs Trader as clients who wanted to move over to the futures space - in their opinions the equity pairs were too saturated with bots and automation. The futures typically don't have the cointegration issues that...
  11. bone

    SpreadProfessor Clients - Thanks !

    One of my mentors was David Ellis - a legend in the S&P pit. One of the tenets he personally impressed upon me was market price behavior flying in the face of "conventional wisdom" and the espoused views of "expert commentators". The S&P 500 is currently a great example of what he was talking...
  12. bone

    Living on a boat and avoiding taxes

    Twice the full body cavity searches...
  13. bone

    Living on a boat and avoiding taxes

    As of today, even after successfully renouncing a US Citizenship, by law that person has to file US tax returns for ten subsequent years on all income. Fact.
  14. bone

    Smart women finding it tough on the dating scene may need to raise their game

    If that is truly the extent of these successful women's expectations then I'm sure all their dreams will come true. Those sources sound like the universal default dating profile of every male on a dating site.
  15. bone

    Smart women finding it tough on the dating scene may need to raise their game

    OP's article reflected the frustrations of alpha career women attempting to engineer themselves into what in their minds is an "ideal" marriage or life partner - which is, of course, irrational because unless that "ideal" partner is a submissive cuck then therein lies the quandary. A successful...
  16. bone

    Smart women finding it tough on the dating scene may need to raise their game

    Since the 1960's the marriage rate in the US has been plummeting and the trend continues. California gave us no-fault divorce in the sixties which spawned a very aggressive, adversarial nationwide family court system where child support is based upon income and not the children's needs. For a...
  17. bone

    Research help on Contango

    Do the work I recommended earlier ?
  18. bone

    Research help on Contango

    In your case IMO overthinking an abstract construct in your mind without the benefit of analytical work is doing you a great disservice. Again, please heed my original advice to plot EACH CL expiry month settled price in the forward curve off of today's settlement sheet from the CME. If you do...
  19. bone

    Research help on Contango

    Do not butterflies and condors have front and back months in their construction? Again, plot the entire forward curve and then select which segment of that plot and time duration you want to isolate. You can use a calendar pair, a fly, a condor, or strips to make your play / each will have...
  20. bone

    Research help on Contango

    Of course it does - it applies to most any fungible commodity intramarket forward curve - especially where there is a storage and transportation basis component. Hint: Look at the complete settlement sheet (all months) for CL - all the months. Look at the plotted pricing forward curve shape.
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