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I will post the answer again: Just do the opposite.

Great News!!!!!!!!!

Giving up US citizenship to save few bucks in taxes is beyond lame. I do not even have a word for it.

Any market can yield profit. Forex on retail level is a virtual game inside the broker's servers where broker can adjust the price anyway they want, plus quote different price to different entities at the same time. If one needs to trade currencies, CME futures are the best bet.

Didn't Taleb closed his Emperica (or something like this) fund shortly before financial crisis? He was waiting for a black swan for like 4 years and was suffering a death by thousand cuts.

This is off topic, but what was your issue with Romney?

I traded with them in 06-07, and had no issues. Centinel issue was a bit worrisome, and I wired back 1/2 of my funds just in case. If someone thinks that large firm is less probable of implosion, then MF Global obviously shows otherwise. I would say IB, among most FCMs, has the lesser...

My thoughts exactly. This is a great contract to trade, plus it allows people on Eastern/Central time zone trade it, and keep their day jobs. If you have any questions about it, let me know.

Hi River, 1) There are plenty of volume in this contract during first 2 hours and through the rest of the day. Usually high 2 digits on each level, often 3 digits. It also has high tick value of around $20 depending on the exchange rate. 2) The contract has great moves, and it jumps very...

Hi Mav, Thanks for the story. How many contracts was he selling per each 50k? Regards, Redduke

I found the concept of bid/ask wall very useful. It started me on path of analyzing and deciphering DOM patterns. DOM patterns only hold "predictive" power for very short term trading.

+1

There is a fund called ljm partners, they mostly sell s&p options. They manage 100s of millions. They periodically have large draw downs, but overall make tons of $. I assume they somehow hedge their short positions.i

+1

I have data going back to 1997. With various crises over past 16 years, that probably should be enough.

Do you mind posting an example of your initial entry position. Obviously, posting all changes is too much.

Hi thoreau777, Thanks for your post. I understand the things you say. If anyone is dumb enough to believe that Iron condors or spreads are safe income, then they are beyond rescue. Any trade (well excluding hft) has risks. I have been looking at options for a while. I decided to only...

Can you pleas post an example of such a trade. I plan to only trade ES, do you trade multiple instruments? Thanks

Lots of homework that for sure. I am only interested in FOP on ES. Just curious, are you trading/traded this way?

Thanks. I will look into this and backtest.