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  1. J

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    You clearly are seeing something I don't. Perhaps it will be a very bullish week, I hope that whatever upside is to take place it will be capped below 1,130. "...many are choosing investments they deem safer, like bonds. If that pace continues, more money will be pulled out of these mutual...
  2. J

    Thats it, I quit...so long ET!

    Bad news sells more newspapers. Hello?!
  3. J

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Yet again I prefer 1,000 over 1,100. What sort of risk are you looking at with this call? I remain short, because my reverse order is @ 1,130 ES. TY for replying. P.S. Yen is getting closer to a key level.
  4. J

    Gold - on cusp of massive bearmarket :)

    IF there was to be a major war...but I am not talking about what would happen to price of Gold IF there is a war, but rather what will happen to price of Gold IF there is no war or depression. Now that you have clarified in your last post the actual reason for your expectation of a dramatic...
  5. J

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    But one can't fade his own trades. So if that person knows his weakness & confronts it then even a low win rate can be turned into a positive ROI. For instance via money management strategies.
  6. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    Do you still expect it to happen today, ie +111 above yesterday's open?
  7. J

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Is this the future for western equity markets? Chart below is Nikkei 85-present. <img src=http://www.forecast-chart.com/images/historical/nikkei-225-august.gif>
  8. J

    Trading EUR/USD Daily Hi & Lo

    USD/JPY trading range based on current Monthly bar is 84.7 - 86.9 (220 pips). Initial bet @ £2 per pip. That solid red line is all-time low, most likely to be target if initial trade is a short. <img src=http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=2929422>
  9. J

    Trading EUR/USD Daily Hi & Lo

    I REALLY love UsdJpy current monthly bar. Range around 220 pips, not great, but it is a monthly bar near current reaction low, all time low ~500 pips below.
  10. J

    Gold - on cusp of massive bearmarket :)

    <object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/NTNpG12c57Q?fs=1&amp;hl=en_GB"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed...
  11. J

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    For sure. I pay attention, yet trade my own ideas. If you recall I was looking for 1,000 ES when you posted your 1,100 call, I still see 100 SMA Weekly re-test as next target. Good luck with the short, I am with you on this one.
  12. J

    Gold - on cusp of massive bearmarket :)

    $250 is pretty much impossible IMO. Unrealistic target. Chinese will not allow this. What you been smoking? Look, you expect equity markets to crash, short term DX will most likely take out resistance as cash becomes King during sell-off, but once smoke settles US's loan obligations, which...
  13. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    Eat me shorts rude boy ;) http://www.fattail.org/viewtopic.php?pid=26242#p26242
  14. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    Noted. Another thing perhaps worth having a look at is weekly VIX which is starting to look pre-flash crash. Dow Transportation is not diverging from S&P this time. IMO technical traders, actually FA traders too, will be eye-balling price reaction to 100 weekly SMA. It's the only worthy...
  15. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    Early signs of H&S on Monthly, no significant support has been created on Monthly on the run from 665.75 (2009). Weekly projection points to 100 SMA re-test as price failed to lock above 50 & 20 SMAs. 100 SMA=~1,000 ES. Here is a visual for the Weekly...
  16. J

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Atticus, kudos on 1100 call
  17. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    -1.41%
  18. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    Trade initiated on August 4th. Some breakout traders are more worthy than others Master ;) But I do understand when you make comparisons to ET majority, which is rather clueless. My trading is not as perfect as yours, but I am rather satisfied.
  19. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    Peronally, although I do like seeking out tops & bottoms, I prefer dealing with facts rather than forecasts - breakouts. Of course there are false breakouts on weekly charts, yet a megaphone is not such a common event on those time frames. Forecasting keeps me interested in analyses, but it is...
  20. J

    Dow TOP call - 10yr top formation done

    It isn't. I like to look at weekly averages, as they seem to be magnets for price, test, re-test, rejection, etc.
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