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  1. Q

    Knowing when to sell

    Anyone who has ever done options has been where you are at. You sell and watch the position go higher. There are lots of thing you can do but don't really know what you are doing now. If you are looking for a "secret" there is none. The Big Secret is - if you are making money be Happy.
  2. Q

    sudden volume, drop on SPY now

    Love these little phrases that pop up now and then - "trifecta of stupidity". Current market in consolidation phase. Low volume yesterday and today support this. Market could go either way. Slight up bias. Whether priced in or not, Greece is there. Wonder if the folks in Greece...
  3. Q

    Options trade during a Crash?

    I was wondering if Options are active during a Crash? If one has an option to buy a stock at say 25-50% below the normal trade price, and the market goes through a severe "correction," such as May 6th, 2010, might your order be filled? marc Unless the drop is mega, options are...
  4. Q

    Quick Trade - Options Buying Methodology

    You can get bogged down in all the details, but the gist of Odd Trades thread is good. You can get a big bang for your buck with options. All of the old stuff holds - know your market, know something about options, and all that stuff. The real key and differences and the hardest thing...
  5. Q

    Why we need to get Iran

    Knowing that we have 50,000 agents associated with the Agency for Homeland Security should enlighten anyone that any Iranian US nuclear threat is remote. Any country that has the will and resolve to take its shoes off everytime it boards an airline will defeat any enemy it faces. Romney...
  6. Q

    Warning: Online Trading Academy (tradingacademy.com)

    AM Banks - I am sure whatever was being offered was not worth $5,000. What can you do? Let it go. You actually learned a few invaluable lessons. 1. Say what you like, but investing is gambling. 2. Gambling isn't as chivalrous as you thought. About 90% of the time it is a drag...
  7. Q

    How much Stock does the Fed own?

    If you are talking about equities, like in the stock market, they don't own any. However, the chances are very good that something like the PPT exists. Who is responsible for it - Fed or Treasury - I don't know. Whoever - they would work through a 3rd party.
  8. Q

    Measuring impact on opening and closing cross

    No way to accurately estimate this. If you could hold everything else constant and then add your order then perhaps. Only thing you can know is that your sell might have more effect on small vol open that large. 10,000 in the grand scheme of things is not that big.
  9. Q

    IB: can I close ALL my positions based on hitting a total target?

    I doubt without programming there is an existing feature that would let you do this. The reverse exists. Loose a certain amount and your remaining positions will be closed out. Best way to find out is to contact IB.
  10. Q

    50 P/E on Regional Banks??

    You are confused. You think a high p/e is good. Not so - Example Price of stock is $10 and remains the same Earnings go from $5 a share to $2 dollars a share p/e = 10/5 = 2 good p/e = 10/2 = 5 not as good Of course if earnings went down so would the share price. But the gist...
  11. Q

    Ewj: elliott wave

    One has to admire your persistence. Care to summarize and predict. In truth I have read very little of the threads. We have - through out history there have been cycles of bust and boom. No one can disagree with this. My problem with Elliot Wave is that it is sufficiently vague...
  12. Q

    Estimating Vol....

    j-law - The IV in the option price formula is a black hole. That's the reason it is called implied. No one really knows how to calculate for it. The way it is derived is by implication. You "assume" markets are efficient and contain all available information included the volatility. The...
  13. Q

    Trading raw on YouTube

    I figured out what the guy is doing. The trick is you think he is trading real time because you see the computer time in the lower right. What he has done is changed the computer time. You also see the Skype time. Not sure if this pulls off computer time but I am sure there is a way...
  14. Q

    Money From MF Global Feared Gone

    You have to go back to a time when the books balanced. Doesn't seem like anyone has done this. Then you start to focus on where major changes took place. Then you focus on the transferred that brought about the change. $1.2 billion dollars isn't something you carry around. It has to go...
  15. Q

    BAC next stop 9 or 5?

    The EUR/USD (actually the opposite of what you would think - the rate given is $ per EUR) has gone from 1.2657 Jan 10th - to 1.3221 Jan 27th. This is a huge move for a currency in just 2 weeks. This is a sign that whatever happens in Greece et al will not be a major financial event. Yes -...
  16. Q

    An interesting hypotheses

    Not sure what you are talking about with your paired trading but... You have lots of people, doing everything that can be thought of to get an edge. You used to trade the week, then the day, now people are trading the tick. Things that use to work in the past, don't because market...
  17. Q

    BAC next stop 9 or 5?

    BAC goes up from here. This is a short term forecast. At least a buck in the next 30 days. BAC tied to mess in Europe. Euro is in rally mode. Implies Greece et al will be resolved in some fashion that reduces market uncertainty.
  18. Q

    backtesting and need help

    1. Why did you enter ABC in the first place? What was the decision variable. 2. How did you determine your stop? Looks like a stock could easily go from $30 to $29.70. Pretty tight. Stop to some degree should be a function of volatility over the interval you are trading. 3. What do you...
  19. Q

    Help with Correlation Analysis ->

    You want some statistical analysis package. http://www.google.com/search?q=free%20statistical%20analysis%20software&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a&source=hp&channel=np You then run a simple correlation analysis. Look at the R(squared).
  20. Q

    A Beautiful chart

    Care to explain why you consider the chart to be depicting a extremely bearish pattern. Given that you are correct how would you play the stock?
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