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You have to understand: Someone is taking the other side of that trade, and they at least disagree with you that the outcome is "certain". Are you sure you have a better idea of the probabilities than they do?

Etrade has been doing this for probably close to a decade.

Bizarre. I use ninja 6 with Rithmic (thru Vision) which is the underlying technology provider for ZenFire. ZenFire licenses a copy and runs it on their own server, essentially. I have never had problems with Rithmic connectivity. I autotrade six days a week, 24 hrs a day. Thank god...

That can't be right. How would ICE clear a NYMEX contract? Did you misunderstand? ICE Europe offers a number of contracts which are very similar to NYMEX CL.

If you're trading securities (including stocks), you have additional SEC regulations that you have to conform to, above and beyond NFA/CFTC oversight. If you're not doing this with a lawyer's help, then don't trade securities.

There's clearly a wide divergence in opinion about the future of Chinese real estate. There are many, many overseas investors who believe a correction is due, and would be inclined to short such an instrument. At the same time, there are many Chinese rushing into purchases partly because of...

I don't know what you mean by "full size"... especially since 1500 years ago, people didn't exactly have satellite-based mapping of borders... or even the modern concept of "citizenship". But basically, the regions that the Qin dynasty directly administered 2200 years ago, probably contains...

This is nonsense in my mind. Clearly the population will get older, and in other nations that would clearly imply the population will get *poorer*.... because workers drop as a % of overall population. In many countries, having one worker economically support two parents and four grandparents...

First of all, perhaps you're not familiar with "you" as a literary device... but not only do I not have any idea what you or your kids do, I don't really care. None of us on this thread are discussing your personal qualities. Replace "you" with "average American", and revisit the discussion...

Wishful thinking. What you wish could be ascribed to some sort of racial superiority is really the product of an incredibly productive European Renaissance. For 1500 years, western Europe was the bastion of religiously befuddled, barely literate nobles and truly ignorant serfs. By every...

Lazy thinking. If economic prosperity could only be achieved through imbalanced trade, then why are Americans wealthy? China isn't South Korea (50mm population), Taiwan (20 million), or even Japan (150 million). Those nations can't gain international significance without exports...

Here's the real rhetorical question you should be asking yourself: - considering Chinese have intellectual capability, as evidenced by demographics at any top-tier university in the US, - considering other nations with similar cultures have done very well (Korea, Japan, Hong Kong...

I've witnessed exactly the same behavior, and it's good to know I'm bot the only one. I use Rithmic (aka Zenfire) both thru Ninja and their stand-alone front end. In both cases, with 100% repeatibility, if I pull the LAN cable from my currently open RDP client, Rithmic will lose connection...

You're completely wrong. Carried interest just means the hedge fund management company fees are taxed based on the characteristic of the underlying income. So, if a hedge fund is doing intra-day day-trading like the individual trader you're comparing them to... the management company will...

All this discussion about wheat... Lean hog was also limit down for much of the day today. Anyone know what the Aug future was trading at via synthetics? Does CME also calculate settlement value based on synthetic price? I know ICE does.

Frankly, any HFT unable to filter out insignificant quotes at o(1) cost deserve the ass-whooping they must receive daily.

Good question. We are obviously talking about different planets. Here's a link to the traffic ticketing system for over 100 different cities in China: http://sz.bendibao.com/cyfw/2006814/fw2436.asp Same site mentions a new service in Shenzhen I find interesting... Register your cell...

Jerkstore, Can you explain how you determined the "50%" and "40%" risk numbers that you put up here? Are these just sort of back-of-envelope numbers you're providing based on your feel, or something structural in the contract itself? I don't understand why the e-mini option has less risk...

In many Chinese cities, the entire ticketing process is entirely automated. You will log onto a specific website every few weeks/months, and find out whether you have any tickets against you.

There are elevated bus stops. Elevated tram really not an option, as it means you're conflicting with any number of already existing overpass/flyovers. Construction cost increases dramatically. The point of this system is that it, somewhat similar to BRT systems in South America, Europe...