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  1. L

    how long can the markets go up 1% a week

    Pfff, look dudes there will be no hyperinflation. Once the QE ends the Bernank isn't going to be able to convince his FOMC buddies that it's such a swell idea to print MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR MOAR!!! like Bennie B wants to keep his little rigged casino running. There are some real dangers to this...
  2. L

    This time it's different..

    What? Facts and figures please, or do you think that stock prices move by themselves without anyone buying? I can produce facts and figures that say pretty much the contrary, but then I again I will cede that these figures show the market is a lot less "all chips on black" than it was in 2000...
  3. L

    This time it's different..

    <3
  4. L

    how long can the markets go up 1% a week

    2007 was quite different. The market wasn't trading 10% above its 200 DMA and it wasn't a straight, unholy grind with zero volatility. There were still real dips, instead of just an intraday 3-point fall that is immediately bought. I don't understand why the VIX isn't at 0. It could go up once...
  5. L

    The S&P has topped !

    Free money is super exciting until it runs out :)
  6. L

    The S&P has topped !

    We'll see if the market reaches a turning point here. Market moving lower rapidly on Mubarak's speech (planning to stay in power, that sneaky git) and a buy closing imbalance, LOL! If the market tanks 4 points in 3 minutes on something like that I don't want to know how it will respond once...
  7. L

    The S&P has topped !

    You're right, I also look at these but as this thread is about timing a top to the second, I figured I'd use the 5 minutes. I'm looking for the CAC40 to break down into a sideways longer term trend. I'm expecting it to struggle with and eventually break down from its range extension of the...
  8. L

    The S&P has topped !

    Short-term technical analysis for CAC40: http://www.sierrachart.com/userimages/upload_2/1297369057815.png The trend is still up and the major uptrend line did hold (and it was fairly obvious it would) but if I see a reversal at either of these lines (again) then that will probably be too much...
  9. L

    The S&P has topped !

    I trade mainly the CAC40 intraday, have a look and tell me that is not technical weakening. Also the ES which I watch every so often has managed to make a lower DL for the previous day for the past three consecutive days and a lower DH for the past two unless we magically rally more than five...
  10. L

    The S&P has topped !

    Well it's ok if you're trading short-term, but it has nothing to do with the news. My idea however is that the market will often be contrary to reality at the end of a trend, before reversing because at this point the short-term traders are getting in while the (institutional) investors are...
  11. L

    I'm sorry, but I have to rob you.

    Are store owners insured against this stuff or something? Cos if I were the store owner I wouldn't buy that guy was going to shoot or even do much physical harm of any sort. Some punk-ass stupid kid hysterical on meth with a gun is a far more effective robber than this. By the way, the...
  12. L

    Deflation is coming!

    It will be good if they can continue QE, the deleveraging continues gently and real growth remains strong. This is a remote possibility, in which case we will see reasonably flat markets for a while.
  13. L

    Deflation is coming!

    I thought I'd present a somewhat alternative argument to what is currently capturing headlines, the "hyperinflationary" scenario. In my humble perception, you must be nuts to believe we can have hyperinflation in the current environment. First off I'll start with a few points from...
  14. L

    Fed's Hoenig says QE3 "may get discussed" haha "may" how about WILL!!!

    Amusingly, you are both somewhat correct, however Visaria is a lot more correct. First let's start off with ME economies having an impact on FX. Market chatter is that the bottom in EUR.USD was put in by ME names and these are continuing to bid up the pair (obviously there's no way of knowing...
  15. L

    Assume lets say, that you know exact date and time of Collapse

    That's kind of silly, if the market crashes as the OP notes, dollars will become a lot more valuable (unless the companies become effectively worthless in both dollars and gold by going out of business, but that is very unlikely.
  16. L

    Is this guy a good trader?

    EVEN CRAMER DOESN'T KNOW WHAT TO THINK!!! You know, what's funny is that I looked up what Cramer was doing during the flash crash and he was totally calm and he was like "yeah just buy some consumer staples now, it's a good deal!"
  17. L

    Catastrophic event

    First maybe you should say why you think it may be less risky to trade shorts only? Hypothetically you have unlimited risk with those. What if a stock suddenly jumps 150% on takeover news? Then you're totally fucked :D I'd totally freak out when scalping individual stocks myself. If...
  18. L

    Catastrophic event

    Dude..how can you make money as a scalper if you have to pay for crash insurance? If you need crash insurance as a scalper then I don't think you should be a scalper. The BP stock probably didn't tank before it could've been known by you that fundamentals were going to move the stock if...
  19. L

    The S&P has topped !

    Dude get real. The market isn't going down for that reason and this reason is like a woman rejecting a man because he has a spot on a tooth. "Hmm, I don't like this guy...there must be something wrong with him. OH LOOK A SPOT ON HIS TOOTH HE IS PROBABLY A SERIAL KILLER!". Women must be as...
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