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It’s gonna really depend on what kind of shop that is. In a long-short equity or a macro shop, analysts and economists are the alpha producers, traders are just execution monkeys.

How was your cheeseburger?

Hyperinflation is almost here. Next year we all be trading blowjobs for a cheeseburger.

LOLs, I sense some butthurt :D First of all, it's always preferable to cite peer reviewed papers as opposed to random blog posts and reddit musings. Even though a big portion of published papers is flawed (more in some fields and less in other), the adversarial nature of the publication process...

Just to add some gasoline to the fire, something like this would not happen to gold: https://www.coindesk.com/business/2023/11/23/bitcoin-sender-struck-with-31m-transaction-fee-largest-in-history/

Along similar lines, but more of a panel study: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-015-1597-5

Well, in the US you have to declare if you own any crypto, as far as I remember. Gold (physical) has its own problems, but you don’t have to declare it until you sell it. My point is that there is no perfection in the world :)

Show me a peer reviewed publication that has proven any of the models "to be BS". Not the standard "yeah, there are possible improvements by adding X" but rather "this stuff is BS". Like I said, I double dare you and so far you're doing about as well as you did in the options-related...

Can gold be tracked by authorities like a digital asset? Would gold ever crash 20% in a day?

Besides regulatory distinctions, “making a market” assumes that you have a fair value to some horizon. This way, even in absence of posted liquidity, a market marker can show a quote. It’s a critical distinction - you can be providing liquidity via limit order (or even as an aggressor if your...

Actually, having been in that boat, I’d disagree. You should never trade credit risk in exchange for tax benefits.

I do think CTAs extend moves somewhat, but it's a secondary effect, especially in products that have liquid trading in the physical and ability to store things (like lumber right now)

There are some advantages and some disadvantages when comparing gold to crypto. Volatility is relatively low (unlike any crypto asset), it’s not traceable (again, unlike any crypto asset) and it has millennia of human trust (again, unlike crypto). The main drawback is that you can’t send it...

I dare you, please do "argue science". Quote actual scientific literature. Show us how the models are flawed. I double dare you :) LOL. Do you mean that it's "falsifiable"? In that case yes, the hypothesis that human activities are causing climate change is falsifiable, as it can be tested (and...

What do you think drives the futures? Supply and demand, and among those things are expectations of harvest failures and similar events. There is a reason why most commodity houses have a dedicated meteorologist on staff.

LOL. Both of these statements are false. The temperature rise is real and obvious. The occurrences of extreme weather events such as droughts and floods are also more common, you can look up statistics from NOAA. You don't even need to look at panel studies but simply look at the original data...

LOL. You know what else you need for photogenenesis? Water. No amount of CO2 will help in case of a climate-induced drought. Dude, I've read your posts in the options sub-forum - you'd not recognize science if it came over and bit you in the ass.

That's tinfoil hat thinking (not that I am surprised, considering your political lean). The original data from various weather stations, including the ones located in places like Moscow support these findings. There is also a bunch of alternative data, such as cherry blossom recordings in Japan...

Unbiased, generally, means that you go to the sources and/or show some evidence. As opposed to complaining how "the libs" are stupid and brainwashed The article links sources which is non-press oriented. You can actually read the original report from 2023 and see the numbers for yourself right...

All while you are the shining beacon of unbiased economic and policy thought. LOL.