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  1. M

    Echo Trading

    You are presuming that they accept all US residents. Nothing could be further from the truth. As a Nevada resident, I found out a year ago that they don't cater to my ilk. Likewise for Massachusetts and some other states. The reason I was told was that it was not cost-beneficial. But...
  2. M

    Looking for firm

    I have some stat arb strategies which require a tad more leverage than the 4:1/2:1 (intraday/overnight) offered by PDT retail. I am looking for a prop firm or other legal entity which would allow me to trade equities remotely on a reliable and interface-friendly platform, and provide access to...
  3. M

    Acrary is not 100% reliable

    I'm glad to see acrary has recanted. I couldn't convince him 4 years ago : http://elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=13252 I also debated the same topic with dbphoenix here http://elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=23498 but he resorted to intellectual fraud and...
  4. M

    RIP Tampa

    And so the saga continues... You will be sorely missed, my dear friend. RIP.
  5. M

    Sound alerts in Excel?

    I have used the following method successfully : http://www.j-walk.com/ss/excel/tips/tip87.htm
  6. M

    Download latest Firefox security update

    All Firefox users should download the latest security update released by Mozilla following the public disclosure of exploit code for two "extremely critical" vulnerabilities. Latest version is 1.0.4.
  7. M

    favorite guitar solos

    I bow my head in shame for not remembering Ritchie Blackmore of Deep Purple, who only got a mention on p.8. Thanks, JohnnyK and reg! "Child in Time", "Stormbringer"
  8. M

    favorite guitar solos

    All the above plus Voodoo Child - Jimi Hendrix Stairway to Heaven - Jimmy Page
  9. M

    From poker player to stock trader.

    The topic comes up every few weeks on the no-limit forums here : www.twoplustwo.com I'll try finding a reference for you later.
  10. M

    From poker player to stock trader.

    If we look at this objectively, there's no reason to doubt RYL. Generally accepted win rates in online NLHE are 5-10bb/100 hands, with some players averaging 15bb. For 4-table $1,000 NL, this translates into about $120-$240 and $360 per hour respectively*, so $300 per hour is realistic. As...
  11. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    The above has proven to be a winning strategy, the profit comparable to that obtained with KAMA. Who needs moving averages? All this in my world, of course.
  12. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    I have no idea if this is what I meant. Serial correlation of the derivative of a time series is hard to conceptualize, after all. I just thought about something to test, and like before am thinking out loud. I'm not certain what the outcome will be; if I were, I wouldn't be posting.
  13. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    As usual, good question, TsG. Permit me to stay in my narrowly focussed pseudo fantasy world a little longer. Assume for the moment that I am a market player with no knowledge of the underlying market (which in my fantasy world is pseudo randomly generated as per a simple algorithm posted...
  14. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    Which is what your reply should have been then. Agreed.
  15. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    No. I was quoting your answer in this post : http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=715995#post715995 Simple question, wrong answer.
  16. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    Why evade? I put you down as a nay, your subsequent silence indicating acquiescence. And you were wrong.
  17. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    Then why did you answer my question with the following :
  18. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    That may be problematic. Trendiness, however you define it, and exploitability may not necessarily go hand in hand, as my charts illustrate. The underlying market remains the great unknown.
  19. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    OK, enough of the suspense. I spent many hours coding and testing Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) on : (a) randomly generated "trends" and (b) "ordinary brownian" randomly generated prices. Result : It was possible to exploit the "trend" in (a). Not allowing for slippage and...
  20. M

    trend following delusion shattered

    What's there to backtest? It's all forward testing :) Start at 0.65. We have 2 nays.
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