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fair enough...but u might as well just flip a coin then. Most traders want some edge when the odds are in their favor --even if that edge is only 55% or 60% odds...earnings is anyones guess.....lbut hey as long as your making money

I have to disagree about buying flat puts before an earnings announcement...to me that is pure gambling...if you have a long term view then fine...or if you doing straddles or something like that then maybe...but estimatting earnings is rolling the dice. I know RM has a more macro view of why...

oops maybe i didnt read the attachement...i thought he was down...i take it back!

Common on RM!!! Are you falling victim to the classic trading flaw....over trading? I thought you mentioned there were only a few good trades per year. stilll love the thread- i would post calls too...but would anyone care? lol

very true... could be the old bait and switch trick. or an attempt to scare traders away from buying. It is very possibly real... I mean look at the run up in the s&P in the past year...a big fund taking some size off the table is not a surprise. Craziest thing i ever saw for obvious...

it is interesting indeed!! I noticed the monster short position...but unfortunately i dont have an option account...and didnt want to buy the stock directly at the time....but in hindsight damn even 55 long is great trade.. did you trade it RM?

Hey RM, Just curious, as you are a trader and understand that timing is extremely important...especially with options... what makes you so confident that this will breakdown this year and not 2 -5 years from now? What will be the catalyst that makes people realize the valuation may not...

Hey RM, I have read a number of your posts as well.. Just finished reading your bio link... I thought you were much older---but you are only 5 years older than me....wish i had started prop trading in 1998!!! good job though.. I was thinking for a while too that gold was at risk of...

one of the toughest things to do is to take small losses...and this obviously becomes increasingly apparent as you increase your size...taking 5-10% loss is fine...but once you start trading bigger size and u dont want to cut your losses because it will be a big nominal loss....you are...

NO DOJI you are soooo generous!! lol although i guess Lance does need a break...its tough when you cheat -make 100 million in cash and endorsements then forced to apologize on tv for 2 hrs. Now he can just retire and ignore the press...hahaha to the trader in these NFLX options..every one...

I think there is a good chance we get to 420 which i believe is the next support level...but obviously a chance this get pushed below 400 briefly...i would load up there though for a bounce back to 450-500. Although i would buy call options and not the stock

VISARIA- how many trades do you make on average a day>?

unless SPY goes down 5 bucks or more next week...it should pop.

re: aapl overhead supply.. 75 points? you 175 points!! that would only take it to over 600... lots of supply yes...it will not make a new high anytime soon...next real shot is release of apple they keep talking about...who knows.. I agree on today though..very good chance this is an...

sorry new here for your NFLX fly so you volatility will be low for this stock? am i right? chart looks like it might break out higher..so i am confused

NO +DOJI Do you ever sell part of your swing positions then let the rest ride? i would think you would love that type of style

re: news for real add some excitement to this board

NO DOJI- what are you talking about...you could easily move the price of oil of to a trendline---easily...you just have to will it with your mind...and believe in the power of things happening because you want them too! LOL you do push ups? and you trade? what a multi tasker or maybe...

NO DOJI!!! its time to flex your muscles...with super low volume you can now use your large trading size to move the markets as you wish :) be the big fish in the tiny pond for once...dont worry the most you could probably lose would be like 100K or so...LOL it will be fun!

re: trader Prn NoDoji--- it might be more like watching a slow movie with a great pay off at the end :) which might be better than the payoff you might otherwise would have had..... well depends on how you look at it!! and what you want----cash or relief!! lol either way you win