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The only egos that exist are in the folks who think they are smarter than the markets based on "their" "anal"ysis. It's the system that wins not you.

Deterministic, probability is just a scoring mechanism for a deteministic event. Different deterministic events will have differring probabilities of occurence.

Using genetic algorithms to find and improve upon technical trading rules and patterns is very interesting.

The new distribution and accumulation phase is taking place from 1498 to 1506. Most $ based stops will get picked off during these supply/demand switchovers. I don't advocate $ based stops. Just follow their footprints and switch over when they drop clues and stay out of their way stopwise...

Those who make the markets (not us) have to accumulate from supply and distribute into demand and with the size they throw around they just can't do it at once. That's where the quants and algorithms come into play. All done while trying to hide their true intentions. If I have 1000 lemons to...

Economics and fundamentals are useless in trading. The only economics you need to understand are the supply and demand footprints laid out right in front of you on your chart in the price and volume. When the big players (those in control) stop dipping their hands in the cookie jar, its time...

Okay, just checking because you seem to know what you are doing and I can appreciate your work and accuracy. All the best This thread has attracted a handful of some very good traders from scalpers to positioners. A voice chat to discuss other markets in a closed group would be nice.

apex, if your work tells you to short @ 1491, then why in the heck are you closing your longs out before that!

The big risk is closing a good position too soon. Better to risk a few points and make 100+ points than take a few points and give up 100+ points that a trend offers when played properly.

Market starting to show it's long hand again, a little more on this short. I'll let the market take me out of this current short position and let it place me into new long position.

yes. watch the deltas and ITMs, they will guide you to see the flow.

reacting to short reentry.

Right on the money, couldn't of said it better myself.

I see way to many making this business harder than it really is. It's simple once you learn to see it and do it with discipline and an empty mind. Granted, it may take a while to see the light and there is no guarantee you may ever see the light. There is risk in any business venture...

those who went short at the top and trailing stops should have a nice position built up here on the downside. Keep trailing and building and let the market take you out.

Amen, let the market tell you what to do, nothing else.

fearless, you have to understand some of us are obligated to keeping our mouths shut from the legal department of previous employers.

would never happen, just like we can't see where the stops are.

lose a little, win a little, win a lot.

Any sort of emotional conviction, being right, great call etc. is all ego play. This is not what this business is about. I've been there, done that, a big yuk. This business is about defense. "It's not you that wins, it's the system". The big boys determine and control where support and...