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    Silver

    What happened to the silver market yesterday? Anyone knows why the open was delayed?
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    The ACD Method

    Disclaimer: take it with a grain of salt. I'm no expert in pair trading. I actually checked if Aussie dollar and US T-Bond is correlated at weekly % change. It is not. I haven't checked other timeframes and the correlation stuff is still work in progress for me. However, the sole reason to...
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    The ACD Method

    Anyone watching CL? All its numberlines are pointing downwards but it was creeping up all this time. A potentially interesting setup may play out next week.
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    The ACD Method

    The main signal was in ZB. It has made a strong monthly A down. To lay off the risk, I looked for the strongest correlated symbol at the time. It happened to be the 6A. My reasoning was: short bonds ~ long dollar ~ short Aussie dollar. I also inadvertently picked the bottom in the Aussie - went...
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    The ACD Method

    It's Aussie dollar vs. T-Bond. Long 6A, short ZB at the ratio of 120:1 (normalized dollar volatility). Chart marking approximate entry and exit points:
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    What happened to Ed Seykota?

    He used to regularly post at his Trading Tribe FAQ for years. But now it seems he ceased doing that - the last post was on April 26th. No activity for 5 months.
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    The ACD Method

    Closed my long Aussie/short US T-Bond spread because ZB bounced off the weekly A down (139.55). Ran it for 15 days since September 11th. I like how ACD takes you out without giving up huge parts of the profit unlike the classical trend following stuff. Kudos to Maverick74 for this gem.
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    The ACD Method

    DX is bouncing off of monthly A down (94.04), weekly A down (94.02) and intraday A down (93.92). No shorting of dollar index allowed! Numberlines are in the negative territory. No going long the dollar index allowed!
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    The ACD Method

    I don't specialize in dollar index, it's just one of the many markets I follow every single day so I don't know if I can add anything interesting there. I don't even trade the DX, but I track DX futures to see if I should stay away or be more interested in USD denominated pairs. I also view all...
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    The ACD Method

    Yes, I'm aware of the New York open but I don't watch it as I am not a day trader, my horizon is much longer. In my case, the A levels are such that if a level is confirmed, the probability that the market will settle in the same direction is 80% (a fact derived from my records, not just...
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    The ACD Method

    Anyone watching yen?
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    The ACD Method

    It's nice to have it go your way, but in spread trading this is not the be all and end all. It can go against you and you will still gain if the other leg is even weaker. For example, in the 6A/ZB spread ZB could go up (against my position) but if 6A is stronger, 6A will go even higher and the...
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    The ACD Method

    Live Cattle is in the middle of nowhere right now, chopping and slopping in the monthly OR, having very unimpressive numberlines. However ZB is going down nicely with all kinds of confirmations of weakness. I sold ZB short today and spread it against long Aussie dollar.
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    The ACD Method

    CL A up confirmed. Scratching the short idea for today.
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    The ACD Method

    In fact, I will be looking to short CL around 67.15-67.20 area depending on how today plays out.
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    The ACD Method

    For me CL bounced off the A up (68.48) almost to the tick (68.49) and made A down later in the day, making it a -3 day. As for the macro view, CL was not particularly interesting yesterday as it's September numberline was at -4 (two A downs), but the monthly A down was not confirmed yet (still...
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    The ACD Method

    Currency futures cease to trade at 16:00 CT (and resume at 17:00 CT with lower volume). 16:00 can be considered as the "end of day" and I consider 02:00-16:00 CT as the "regular trading hours" for currencies for ACD purposes. That's a pretty lengthy trading day and thus it has a pretty lengthy...
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    The ACD Method

    A good opening range for currencies is the London open (2:00-2:30 AM CT). That's when the volume in currency futures picks up.
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    The ACD Method

    Another interesting item to watch is ZB with monthly NL at -5, having made weekly A down (143.6113) and crossed (but not confirmed yet) monthly A down (143.0867).
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    The ACD Method

    Looks like HG is becoming interesting now. It has reached -7 for the monthly NL with 4 A down confirmations. My record for this month: 2018-09-03 -2 A down 2018-09-04 0 A down 2018-09-05 0 2018-09-06 -2 A down 2018-09-07 -3 A down It has made...
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